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VORTECS Report: When this indicator lights up, LUNA, MATIC and EGLD usually gain 10%


15 Jun 2021

#Polygon

Compounding modest gains is a key strategy for successful crypto traders — LUNA doesn't have to go to the moon to help profits rocket. Consistency is not generally a hallmark of crypto asset price movements. In a market characterized by volatility, outliers often become the norm — while even macro analysis of large cap assets such as Bitcoin and Ether is often wide of the mark.

For cryptocurrencies with smaller market capitalizations, finding trading patterns can be even harder. But as the VORTECS Score™ from Cointelegraph Markets Pro continues to absorb the history of almost 200 digital assets, careful analysis of some crypto tokens demonstrates that patterns do exist: Even if they may be invisible to the human eye, the data doesn’t lie.

The data science team at Markets Pro and The TIE examined a number of cryptocurrencies that have regularly reached a VORTECS™ Score of over 80 since the quant algorithm was launched on January 3 2021. A score of 80 generally indicates that the algorithm has reasonably high confidence that the combination of positive sentiment, price action, trading volume, and tweet volume that it currently sees in the market has historically led to increased prices for that particular asset over the next few days.

In the chart below, we can see assets that have hit that score on at least 20 days since launch, including AVAX, EGLD, VGX, MATIC, FTM, LUNA, AXS, AAVE, SAND and COTI. The blue bar illustrates the number of days on which the asset hit at least 80 — if the coin rose above 80 and then retreated below, before achieving the score again, only one per day was recorded; all subsequent hits in the next 24 hours were ignored.

Orange bars represent the number of occasions on which the asset then gained 3% in value over the subsequent 72 hours, while grey bars show a gain of 5% and yellow denotes a 10% gain.

LUNA boasts the most consistent gains of at least 3% following a VORTECS™ Score of 80, achieving that milestone 92% of the time:

Elrond (EGLD) also has a strong set of scores following an 80 score:

The Sandbox (SAND) stands out for highly consistent minor gains that didn’t translate into the same sort of 10% plus returns:

What is VORTECS?™

The VORTECS™ Score is an algorithmic metric derived from historical analysis of crypto markets. For each one of the ~200 crypto assets supported by Cointelegraph Markets Pro, the algorithm is hunting for moments in time that resemble the current marketscape — 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.

Specifically, it’s looking for patterns that have consistently led to significant changes in price in the past. Those patterns include a variety of factors: Volume, Outlook, RealPrice, Tweet Volume, Elevation, Confidence, and Sentiment... or VORTECS™ for short.

The algorithm combines all of this raw data into a VORTECS™ Score, which is designed to identify the general health of the market for a particular crypto asset. A high score suggests that in the past, conditions similar to those we see right now have often led to increases in the price of that asset. The higher the score, the more confident the algorithm is that these scenarios have been consistent.

All-time VORTECS™ Score performance

Markets Pro has been tracking the return on investment (ROI) of Bitcoin, an evenly-weighted basket of the top 100 altcoins, and various automated VORTECS™-based strategies since launching the algorithm on January 3 2021. A full methodology is available here.

While Bitcoin was trading just 8% higher than its price on January 3 at the time of writing, the altcoin basket had delivered 348% in returns. The top-performing VORTECS™ strategies have delivered outsized gains including several in excess of 1,000%, although the recent market pullback has meant that one strategy (buy at a score of 85, sell at 75) now trails Bitcoin’s returns.


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Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap 7d price change
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 87.2% 21 $20 343.76 0.74% 4.35% $390 002 144 811 BTC 7 days price change
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 60.8% 78 $1 371.86 1.23% 2.24% $168 287 742 378 ETH 7 days price change
3 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 92.4% 1 $1.000141 -0.01% 0.01% $68 222 178 413 USDT 7 days price change
4 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 83.2% 21 $296.37 0.50% 4.40% $47 815 124 698 BNB 7 days price change
5 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 94% 1 $0.999980 0.01% -0.02% $46 433 199 437 USDC 7 days price change
6 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 60.4% 85 $0.496669 4.51% 12.60% $24 763 202 282 XRP 7 days price change
7 Binance USD (BUSD) BUSD Binance USD predictions 93.6% 1 $1.000043 0.05% 0.03% $21 043 130 520 BUSD 7 days price change
8 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 76.8% 42 $0.434909 0.55% -0.40% $14 899 368 238 ADA 7 days price change
9 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 86.8% 21 $34.30 0.54% 1.72% $12 185 648 954 SOL 7 days price change
10 Lido stETH (STETH) STETH Lido stETH predictions 94.8% 1 $2 941.39 -0.40% -3.32% $10 258 752 564 STETH 7 days price change
11 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 84.4% 21 $0.066218 1.79% 8.97% $8 785 142 892 DOGE 7 days price change
12 Polygon (MATIC) MATIC Polygon predictions 70.8% 56 $0.846366 0.82% 12.86% $7 392 430 810 MATIC 7 days price change
13 Polkadot (DOT) DOT Polkadot predictions 73.2% 59 $6.48 1.22% 0.75% $7 283 638 838 DOT 7 days price change
14 Dai (DAI) DAI Dai predictions 93.6% 1 $0.999775 0.01% 0.02% $6 788 649 987 DAI 7 days price change
15 Wrapped TRON (WTRX) WTRX Wrapped TRON predictions 93.6% 5 $0.062676 0.57% 4.44% $6 372 618 183 WTRX 7 days price change

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