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Reasons why traders think Bitcoin price bottomed at $29,500


23 Jul 2021   #Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s bounce above $32,000 boosted the mood among traders who believe the bottom is in, but some analysts caution that heavy resistance blocks the road to new highs. Traders are showing a renewed sense of hope after Bitcoin (BTC) price held onto the $32,000 range for what could be the second day in a row. 

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that bulls have managed to regroup at the $32,000 level where Bitcoin has hovered throughout the day but traders a patiently waiting for further confirmation that Bitcoin may be in the midst of a trend reversal before fully re-entering the market. Here's what analysts and investors expect next from Bitcoin price.

CME futures see a bullish surge

According to a recent report from Delphi Digital, an aggressive reversal was observed in the CME futures basis on July 21, and this is a bullish sign for BTC traders who scooped up 'cheap' futures contracts. The resulting contango is interpreted as bullish because the futures price is above the spot price of the asset.

As seen on the chart, the open interest for CME’s Bitcoin futures doubled from $1.25 billion on July 19 to $2.5 billion on July 20 after institutions positioned themselves “slightly net long after an extended period of being short.” While leveraged funds remain net shot as they utilize CME futures to hedge their spot exposure, Delphi Digital indicated that they have probably “closed out some amount of their positions.

Delphi Digital said: “Overall, CME’s fresh futures contract creation is a slightly bullish narrative, considering BTC had a mini pump to reclaim its range a few hours after the New York session ended. As noted above, futures basis on CME hit negative levels yesterday before posting a sizeable reversal. All the data points to people buying up futures contracts as BTC spiked below the price range it’s sat in for months now.”

Multiple zones of resistance remain in Bitcoin's path

Bitcoin’s recovery above $32,000 reignited the bullish optimism for many traders but the road ahead is by no means a walk in the park due to the multiple zones of resistance that lay overhead. According to pseudonymous crypto Twitter analyst Rekt Capital, many of the previous support levels for Bitcoin, including $35,000 and $37,000, could soon act as resistance.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin price is in the process of attempting a sustained breakout above $32,200 where the price has been stuck for most of the day. 

Exchange inflows historically spike near market bottoms

Another sign of bullishness came from pseudonymous Twitter user IzzyEibani, who highlighted the recent spike in exchange inflows as a possible sign that the bottom is in. A closer look at the chart shows that there have been three instances in the past on Aug. 1, 2017, Nov. 30, 2018 and March 12, 2020, where inflows to exchanges spiked in a manner similar to what was seen on July 16. Each time the market bottomed within a short time period following the inflows.

If the market unfolds in a similar fashion to the historical pattern, there is a strong possibility that the recent drop to $29,500 may have been the bottom.


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Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap Volume 24h
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 83.6% 24 $48 023.28 -0.71% 3.44% $903 705 648 774 $30 868 405 829
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 71.6% 52 $3 563.80 -1.89% 4.12% $418 950 530 113 $18 493 669 977
3 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 66% 64 $2.42 -2.23% -3.43% $77 683 489 177 $3 095 901 217
4 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 68.4% 70 $421.22 -2.55% -0.83% $70 821 892 729 $1 657 577 581
5 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 96% 1 $1.000499 0.02% 0.05% $68 288 037 795 $74 172 515 331
6 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 71.2% 56 $1.093567 -2.51% -3.05% $50 984 520 461 $3 018 193 479
7 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 57.2% 89 $146.88 -7.34% -21.00% $43 597 219 268 $3 263 512 936
8 Polkadot (DOT) DOT Polkadot predictions 63.2% 83 $36.36 1.92% 15.42% $35 909 826 746 $2 318 625 572
9 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 66.4% 65 $0.254974 3.69% 0.76% $33 480 789 211 $1 873 594 606
10 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 94.8% 1 $1.000186 0.02% 0.01% $29 230 519 112 $2 845 039 489
11 UniSwap (UNI) UNI UniSwap predictions 68.8% 56 $25.82 -4.67% 9.72% $15 791 177 382 $595 594 004
12 Terra (LUNA) LUNA Terra predictions 68% 67 $36.20 -0.80% 12.70% $14 549 248 511 $1 555 371 086
13 Avalanche (AVAX) AVAX Avalanche predictions 69.2% 69 $64.76 6.83% 48.17% $14 265 392 957 $2 603 032 868
14 Chainlink (LINK) LINK Chainlink predictions 74% 56 $29.85 -5.29% 4.13% $13 491 251 604 $1 523 058 445
15 Binance USD (BUSD) BUSD Binance USD predictions 96% 1 $1.000197 0.01% 0.02% $12 747 342 580 $6 385 206 639

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