Bitcoin
BTC$69 201.64

0.38%

Ethereum
ETH$3 742.65

0.21%

Tether
USDT$0.999911

-0.01%

Binance Coin
BNB$600.85

-0.06%

Solana
SOL$167.39

-0.88%

USD Coin
USDC$0.999907

-0.02%

Just a Rise? Or a Rise Before a Fall?


31 Oct 2022

#Bitcoin

Following the growth of US stock indices (S&P500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq) last week, bitcoin and ethereum went up, bringing joy to investors. Against the background of the fact that BTC/USD has not been able to gain a foothold above the $20,400 mark since September 13, the bulls can consider what is happening to be their success. However, it should be noted that the pair has been migrating along the $20,000 Pivot Point in the medium-term $18,100-25,000 side corridor for 19 weeks, since mid-June. So, the rise to the last seven-day high of $21.015 can only be considered a local micro-success, but not a reversal of the bearish trend.

Intense tightening of the Fed's monetary policy has already put the US economy on the brink of a recession. One more step, and recession will become inevitable. Some experts believe that the economic downturn could force the US Central Bank to abandon quantitative tightening (QT), at least for a while, without curbing inflation to the end. Against this background, the correlation between the prices of bitcoin and gold over the past 40 days has reached a significant value of 0.5, which is a strong increase after this indicator was almost zero in mid-August. Bank of America opined that "the rapidly growing relationship with gold indicates that investors may view bitcoin as a relatively safe haven in a situation where there remains macroeconomic uncertainty in the world, and the market bottom may eventually be fixed".

The bitcoin community is divided over whether BTC will rise or fall next year. There is reason to believe that BTC is likely to collapse sharply in the coming months but will then rise in middle to late 2023. Most analysts and technical indicators suggest that bitcoin could drop to $12,000-$16,000 in the coming months. This correlates with a volatile macro environment, stock prices, inflation, Fed data, and (at least according to Elon Musk) a possible recession that could last until 2024.

For example, the well-known trader Ton Weiss believes that against the backdrop of the upcoming halving-2024, the quotes of the first cryptocurrency will reach $100,000 next year. But at the same time, he does not exclude the possibility of a fall in the price of digital gold to the level of $10,000-14,000 before the onset of the bull market. According to Weiss, capital flows from Europe to the United States and the syndrome of lost profits can become the engine of growth. “They missed their chance to catch the low in 2018. This is another possibility. If bitcoin ever drops below $10,000, investors will immediately take advantage of this,” the trader explained.

Many experts say that the upcoming halving could significantly push the BTC price up. This opinion is also shared by a well-known specialist aka PlanB, who predicts the price movement of the main cryptocurrency based on the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model. He is supported by fellow trader and analyst Josh Rager, who also expects a significant increase in bitcoin, but only after halving in 2024. In his opinion, growth should not be expected before this event.

As you know, the last bitcoin halving occurred on May 11, 2020, when the reward for each created block was halved to 6.25 BTC. This reward will again be halved to 3.125 BTC per block during the fourth halving, which is expected to take place in May 2024. The legendary trader and analyst Peter Brandt is of the same opinion. He said that bitcoin would reach a new all-time high in about 32 months, but it would first fall to $13,000. The expert believes that the first cryptocurrency will find this bottom at the beginning of 2023 and will not show “impressive” performance over the next year and a half.

According to Brandt, the US Federal Reserve is not going to ease monetary policy. He assumes that the regulator will raise interest rates by another 75 basis points at least twice more by the end of 2022 in order to combat inflation. However, the analyst expects that the value of the first cryptocurrency will no longer depend on other markets at some point. “Bitcoin will eventually correlate with bitcoin,” Brandt explained. The expert also noted that the cryptocurrency will become the “main store of value” in the next 10 years.

Recall that Peter Brandt has been working in the financial markets for more than 40 years, he is the creator of the Factor Trading service, which provides expert reports and analysis of asset value charts. Brandt has repeatedly noted that bitcoin is one of the largest parts of his investment portfolio. Now more details about the forecast for the next 2 months. Most of the 564 crypto investors surveyed by MLIV Pulse think that bitcoin will continue to trade in the $17,600-25,000 price range. According to an October survey conducted by financial company Finder, the first cryptocurrency will be trading at $21,344 by the end of this year.

The forecast of Eight trading firm CEO Michael van de Poppe is a little more optimistic. He believes that bitcoin has been consolidating around $20,000 for too long and should soon get out of the corridor to shake things up. “Bitcoin will break through all levels within two to three weeks. And I think it will be up. I think we'll get to $30,000." This growth is evidenced by the outflow of BTC from centralized exchanges: investors withdraw funds to cold wallets in anticipation of the strengthening of the first cryptocurrency.

Other experts, on the contrary, believe that we will not see a surge either in the near future or in 2023. Gareth Soloway of InTheMoneyStocks has pointed out that there is a small chance that the coin could even crash to $3,500. “I think we will see a small bounce in the near future, then a wave down to $12,000-13,000, and then, I am afraid, we will move to $8,000-10,000, maybe even see a drop to $3,500,” he says. At the same time, Gareth Soloway warns that if BTC falls to $12,000 or below, it may not be profitable for miners to manage the ecosystem. This would mean that transactions are no longer being processed. And this, in turn, can not only damage the industry, but also destroy the bitcoin market.

According to billionaire Frank Giustra, the end of the bitcoin era will be actively promoted by the US authorities, who will destroy cryptocurrencies sooner or later. “I think the US authorities really want to be ahead of the rest of the planet in terms of blockchain, not in bitcoin, but in a state-owned digital currency that they can fully control. Like all other countries, they don't need bitcoin competition. Therefore, I see BTC as a game against sovereign fiat money,” Giustra said, adding that bitcoin has no chance of standing up to world governments.

Of course, such statements are alarming. But we wouldn't be us if we hadn't finished our review on an optimistic note. According to the mentioned survey conducted by the financial company Finder, the median forecast of analysts is that the price of BTC will reach $270,722 by 2030. In the meantime, at the time of writing the review, on the evening of Friday October 28, the BTC/USD pair is trading in the $20,600 zone, the total capitalization of the crypto market is $1.005 trillion ($0.913 trillion a week ago). The Crypto Fear & Greed Index rose 7 points in seven days from 23 to 30 and moved from the Extreme Fear zone to the Fear zone. According to the creators of the Index, it is worth thinking about opening long positions at this point. Although, in our opinion, the situation is very shaky, and traders need to act as carefully and cautiously as possible.


Related

NordFX Copy Trading: A Comprehensive Guide to Maximizing Profits
NordFX Copy Trading: A Comprehensive Guide to Maximizing Profits
Tips to Choose the Right Second Citizenship Program
Tips to Choose the Right Second Citizenship Program
Bitcoin’s continued slide down
Bitcoin’s continued slide down
A new round of crypto market mistrust
A new round of crypto market mistrust
Bitcoin holds its range, but pressure mounts
Bitcoin holds its range, but pressure mounts
Bitcoin unlikely to end correction
Bitcoin unlikely to end correction
Bitcoin looks set to take a severe dive
Bitcoin looks set to take a severe dive
Bitcoin set for a deeper correction
Bitcoin set for a deeper correction
Bitcoin falls under pressure
Bitcoin falls under pressure

Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap 7d price change
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 80.4% 30 $69 201.64 0.38% 3.57% $1 363 507 151 482 BTC 7 days price change
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 74.8% 49 $3 742.65 0.21% 20.13% $449 615 014 037 ETH 7 days price change
3 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 92.4% 1 $0.999911 -0.01% -0.03% $111 927 378 193 USDT 7 days price change
4 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 90% 6 $600.85 -0.06% 4.02% $88 677 584 089 BNB 7 days price change
5 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 67.2% 62 $167.39 -0.88% -2.55% $75 224 714 655 SOL 7 days price change
6 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 92.4% 1 $0.999907 -0.02% -0.01% $32 730 892 871 USDC 7 days price change
7 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 90% 5 $0.539884 1.42% 3.50% $29 926 025 528 XRP 7 days price change
8 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 77.2% 35 $0.170492 3.75% 11.01% $24 625 832 325 DOGE 7 days price change
9 Toncoin (TON) TON Toncoin predictions 68% 72 $6.38 0.57% -0.05% $22 183 520 270 TON 7 days price change
10 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 86.4% 19 $0.460071 0.28% -4.58% $16 419 563 723 ADA 7 days price change
11 Avalanche (AVAX) AVAX Avalanche predictions 76% 46 $37.93 -0.64% 1.94% $14 901 501 779 AVAX 7 days price change
12 SHIBA INU (SHIB) SHIB SHIBA INU predictions 78.4% 35 $0.000025 1.83% 1.17% $14 631 571 207 SHIB 7 days price change
13 Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) WBTC Wrapped Bitcoin predictions 84.8% 29 $69 118.58 0.24% 3.21% $10 746 319 328 WBTC 7 days price change
14 Polkadot (DOT) DOT Polkadot predictions 80.4% 27 $7.34 1.56% 2.47% $10 558 252 393 DOT 7 days price change
15 Lido stETH (STETH) STETH Lido stETH predictions 92.4% 1 $2 941.39 -0.40% -3.32% $10 258 752 564 STETH 7 days price change

Be the first to receive Cryptocurrency Price Predictions and Forecasts daily

Get cryptocurrency price predictions, forecasts with analysis and news right to your inbox.

© 2015-2024 Crypto-Rating.com

The usage of this website constitutes acceptance of the following legal information. Any contracts of financial instruments offered to conclude bear high risks and may result in the full loss of the deposited funds. Prior to making transactions one should get acquainted with the risks to which they relate. All the information featured on the website, including information about the cryptocurrencies and bitcoin is intended solely for informational purposes, is not a means of advertising them, and doesn't imply direct instructions for investing. Crypto Rating shall not be liable for any loss, including unlimited loss of funds, which may arise directly or indirectly from the usage of this information. The editorial staff of the website does not bear any responsibility whatsoever for the content of the comments or reviews made by the site users about cryptocurrencies. The entire responsibility for the contents rests with the authors. Reprint of the materials is available only with the permission of the editorial staff.