BTC$57 227.41


ETH$3 268.20




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How cautiously bullish Bitcoin traders use options to maintain BTC exposure

08 Nov 2021


Here’s how traders use the risk reversal options strategy to maintain “safe” exposure to Bitcoin’s price action. Bitcoin (BTC) traders appear undecided on the next step and this is reflected in the price oscillating between $58,400 and $63,400 over the last 14 days. There are some bearish signals coming from the United States regulatory front, but at the same time,the Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETF) surpassing $1.2 billion in assets under management has also boosted investors’ expectations.

A Nov. 5 CryptoQuant report confirmed that whales have accounted for most selling pressure in recent days. The on-chain monitoring resource focused its attention on the “exchange whale ratio” — the percentage of inflows coming from the largest wallets — and showed a clear increase from the middle of October until today.

Moreover, on Nov. 1, the U.S. Treasury Department urged Congress to act promptly to enact legislation to ensure that payment stablecoin issuers are regulated similarly to the U.S. banks. In practice, the report recommends that stablecoins should be issued only through “entities that are insured depository institutions.” Still, institutional money managers managed to add $2 billion worth of Bitcoin through mutual funds in October. According to the Oct. 31 CoinShares flow report, ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF, which launched officially on Oct. 19, accounted for $1.2 billion in inflow.

Options allow traders to bet on  bullish and bearish moves

Contrary to popular belief, derivatives markets were not designed for gambling and excessive leverage. Derivatives trading has been around for more than five decades and institutional traders have been shifting their attention — and volume — to cryptocurrency over the past couple of years.

The subject became the centerpiece on July 7, as Bloomberg reported a $4.8 million options trading gain from the husband of Nancy Pelosi, the Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives. In a July 2 financial disclosure, Paul Pelosi reported exercising call options to acquire 4,000 shares of Alphabet, Google’s parent company, at a strike price of $1,200.

Options trading presents different opportunities for investors seeking to profit from increased volatility, maximizing gains if the price remains in a specific range, or obtaining protection from sharp price drops. Those complex trades involving more than one instrument are known as options structures.

How to limit losses and keep unlimited gains

For those unfamiliar with options trading, Cointelegraph previously published an article detailing all of the ins and outs of options, including the benefits over futures contracts trading. To hedge losses from unexpected price swings, one can use the “risk reversal” options strategy. The investor benefits from being long on the call options, but pays for those by selling the put. Basically, this setup eliminates the risk of the stock trading sideways but does come with substantial risk if the asset trades down.

The above trade focuses exclusively on Dec. 31 options, but investors’ will find similar patterns using different maturities. First, one needs to buy protection from a downside move by buying 2.45 BTC puts (sell) $44,000 options contracts. Then, the trader will sell 2 BTC put (sell) $54,000 options contracts to net the returns above this level. Finally, buying 2.20 call (buy) $85,000 options contracts for positive price exposure.

That options structure results in no gain or loss between $54,000 (down by 11.5%) and $85,000 (up by 39%). In doing this, the investor is betting that Bitcoin price on Dec. 31 at 8:00 am UTC will be above that range while gaining exposure to unlimited gains and a maximum BTC 0.455 loss. There is no cost associated with this options structure, but the exchange will require a margin deposit to cover potential losses. Keep in mind that the minimum options trade on most derivative exchanges is 0.10 BTC contract.


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Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap 7d price change
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 63.2% 77 $57 227.41 2.77% 10.14% $1 123 928 709 833 BTC 7 days price change
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 64.4% 80 $3 268.20 1.88% 9.00% $392 677 165 591 ETH 7 days price change
3 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 92.4% 1 $1.000608 0.03% 0.05% $98 450 742 199 USDT 7 days price change
4 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 67.2% 70 $397.64 -0.22% 12.43% $59 464 250 949 BNB 7 days price change
5 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 79.6% 40 $108.73 -0.56% 2.07% $48 110 489 643 SOL 7 days price change
6 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 82.8% 29 $0.581236 4.79% 4.77% $31 732 154 841 XRP 7 days price change
7 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 92% 1 $1.000049 0.01% 0.01% $28 537 245 374 USDC 7 days price change
8 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 69.2% 66 $0.622124 -0.06% 2.81% $22 069 873 483 ADA 7 days price change
9 Avalanche (AVAX) AVAX Avalanche predictions 76% 52 $39.50 0.67% 4.32% $14 901 404 487 AVAX 7 days price change
10 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 80.8% 27 $0.095622 6.42% 12.28% $13 698 272 351 DOGE 7 days price change
11 TRON (TRX) TRX TRON predictions 67.2% 63 $0.143316 1.91% 2.32% $12 610 871 764 TRX 7 days price change
12 Wrapped TRON (WTRX) WTRX Wrapped TRON predictions 71.6% 61 $0.143061 1.88% 2.45% $12 588 506 729 WTRX 7 days price change
13 Chainlink (LINK) LINK Chainlink predictions 76.8% 43 $19.01 -0.49% 0.47% $11 161 094 840 LINK 7 days price change
14 Polkadot (DOT) DOT Polkadot predictions 71.2% 51 $8.29 2.87% 9.67% $10 648 944 874 DOT 7 days price change
15 Lido stETH (STETH) STETH Lido stETH predictions 92.4% 1 $2 941.39 -0.40% -3.32% $10 258 752 564 STETH 7 days price change

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