Bitcoin
BTC$41 781.93

-1.20%

Ethereum
ETH$3 104.92

-3.07%

Tether
USDT$1.000442

0%

Binance Coin
BNB$462.66

-2.57%

Cardano
ADA$1.41

-10.09%

USD Coin
USDC$0.999818

-0.07%

Here’s why Bitcoin traders expect choppy markets for the remainder of 2021


17 Dec 2021

#Bitcoin

Bitcoin price appears pinned below $48,000, leading some analysts to forecast “choppy” markets until Q1 2022. Inflation concerns and a general sense of trepidation about the future of the global economy continue to put a damper on Bitcoin and altcoin prices and currently the Crypto Fear and Greed index is solidly in the ‘fear’ zone where it has been parked since the beginning of December. 

Despite the brief bump in prices seen across the markets following the recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting where Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that interest rates would remain low for the time being, the overall sentiment in the crypto market continues to wane, signaling that 2021 could end on a bearish note.

BTC price could dampen due to macro concerns

In a recent report from Delphi Digital, analysts noted that the price of Bitcoin (BTC) has been seen to closely track changes in sentiment during market downturns and it can often take some time for the trend to reverse. Delphi Digital went on to say that the current technical setup for BTC “leaves much to be desired” especially after the price fell back under the 200-day exponential moving average and is in the process of testing its 200-day simple moving average.

A similar setup was seen was following the major market pullback in May 2021 and it was another two months before BTC was able to find a local bottom.

Coinciding with the market pullback in May and the recent weakness and volatile market conditions is an increase in the volume of stablecoins transacted. The volume transacted on Dec. 14 spiked to $57 billion whereas the daily average had been consistently between $10 to $20 billion.

Daily stablecoin transfer volume. Source: Dune Analytics

A similar spike in stablecoin volume was observed during the pullback in May, leading Delphi Digital to warn that both BTC and Ether (ETH) could see their prices oscillate for the remainder of the year.

Delphi Digital said, “Given this, the most likely path forward is more choppy/sideways price action heading into year-end, though any major risk-off event or volatility spike that punishes risk assets would likely drag on BTC and the broader crypto market as well.”

The market is gearing up for a rally in Q1 2022

A similar expectation of choppy markets was expressed by the crypto analytics firm Jarvis Labs, which also pointed to some early "bottoming" signals according to a wide array of data. Jarvis Labs highlighted evidence that shows retail traders buying the recent dip and other signs which point to whales accumulating in the current range, but the analysts also noted that the short-term holder realized price is $53,000 and recommended caution for traders “until this level is flipped.”

In summary, Jarvis Labs stated that $42,000 is now the local bottom for BTC, but warned that it needs to recover $53,000 soon. The overall cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $2.233 trillion and Bitcoin’s dominance rate is 40.6%.


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Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap 7d price change
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 70% 61 $41 781.93 -1.20% -2.04% $791 088 078 889 BTC 7 days price change
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 64% 76 $3 104.92 -3.07% -4.08% $370 163 071 496 ETH 7 days price change
3 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 94.8% 1 $1.000442 0% 0.02% $78 349 190 476 USDT 7 days price change
4 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 70.8% 60 $462.66 -2.57% 0.34% $76 392 115 063 BNB 7 days price change
5 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 74.8% 52 $1.41 -10.09% 16.06% $47 131 349 412 ADA 7 days price change
6 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 92% 1 $0.999818 -0.07% 0.01% $45 754 530 091 USDC 7 days price change
7 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 59.6% 81 $138.01 -1.88% -1.19% $43 357 154 185 SOL 7 days price change
8 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 68% 65 $0.743566 -2.42% -2.66% $35 440 659 267 XRP 7 days price change
9 Terra (LUNA) LUNA Terra predictions 70.8% 57 $77.07 -0.63% 2.61% $27 568 221 274 LUNA 7 days price change
10 Polkadot (DOT) DOT Polkadot predictions 76.4% 51 $24.34 -4.48% -6.31% $24 040 494 775 DOT 7 days price change
11 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 75.6% 45 $0.166796 -2.47% 8.84% $22 128 901 943 DOGE 7 days price change
12 Avalanche (AVAX) AVAX Avalanche predictions 61.2% 79 $84.45 -2.78% -7.81% $20 636 453 390 AVAX 7 days price change
13 SHIBA INU (SHIB) SHIB SHIBA INU predictions 67.6% 63 $0.000028 -3.69% -2.92% $15 307 020 912 SHIB 7 days price change
14 Polygon (MATIC) MATIC Polygon predictions 68.8% 59 $2.08 -6.22% -11.45% $15 177 353 942 MATIC 7 days price change
15 Binance USD (BUSD) BUSD Binance USD predictions 94.8% 1 $0.998835 -0.12% -0.19% $14 198 835 768 BUSD 7 days price change

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