Bitcoin price appears pinned below $48,000, leading some analysts to forecast “choppy” markets until Q1 2022. Inflation concerns and a general sense of trepidation about the future of the global economy continue to put a damper on Bitcoin and altcoin prices and currently the Crypto Fear and Greed index is solidly in the ‘fear’ zone where it has been parked since the beginning of December.
Despite the brief bump in prices seen across the markets following the recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting where Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that interest rates would remain low for the time being, the overall sentiment in the crypto market continues to wane, signaling that 2021 could end on a bearish note.
In a recent report from Delphi Digital, analysts noted that the price of Bitcoin (BTC) has been seen to closely track changes in sentiment during market downturns and it can often take some time for the trend to reverse. Delphi Digital went on to say that the current technical setup for BTC “leaves much to be desired” especially after the price fell back under the 200-day exponential moving average and is in the process of testing its 200-day simple moving average.
A similar setup was seen was following the major market pullback in May 2021 and it was another two months before BTC was able to find a local bottom.
Coinciding with the market pullback in May and the recent weakness and volatile market conditions is an increase in the volume of stablecoins transacted. The volume transacted on Dec. 14 spiked to $57 billion whereas the daily average had been consistently between $10 to $20 billion.
A similar spike in stablecoin volume was observed during the pullback in May, leading Delphi Digital to warn that both BTC and Ether (ETH) could see their prices oscillate for the remainder of the year.
Delphi Digital said, “Given this, the most likely path forward is more choppy/sideways price action heading into year-end, though any major risk-off event or volatility spike that punishes risk assets would likely drag on BTC and the broader crypto market as well.”
A similar expectation of choppy markets was expressed by the crypto analytics firm Jarvis Labs, which also pointed to some early "bottoming" signals according to a wide array of data. Jarvis Labs highlighted evidence that shows retail traders buying the recent dip and other signs which point to whales accumulating in the current range, but the analysts also noted that the short-term holder realized price is $53,000 and recommended caution for traders “until this level is flipped.”
In summary, Jarvis Labs stated that $42,000 is now the local bottom for BTC, but warned that it needs to recover $53,000 soon. The overall cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $2.233 trillion and Bitcoin’s dominance rate is 40.6%.
# | Crypto | Prediction | Accuracy | CVIX | Price | 24h | 7d | Market Cap | 7d price change | |
1 | BTC | Bitcoin predictions | 84.4% | 17 | $66 883.38 | 1.93% | 9.82% | $1 317 592 879 986 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | ETH | Ethereum predictions | 84% | 20 | $3 099.26 | 5.28% | 6.21% | $372 289 746 947 | ||
3 | USDT | Tether predictions | 94.4% | 1 | $1.000445 | 0.04% | 0.07% | $111 384 906 668 | ||
4 | BNB | Binance Coin predictions | 91.2% | 13 | $580.73 | 1.80% | -0.73% | $85 708 282 896 | ||
5 | SOL | Solana predictions | 81.6% | 37 | $172.71 | 5.61% | 18.88% | $77 512 358 873 | ||
6 | USDC | USD Coin predictions | 92.8% | 1 | $1.000055 | 0.02% | 0.01% | $33 433 494 716 | ||
7 | XRP | XRP predictions | 88.4% | 12 | $0.523443 | 1.38% | 3.68% | $28 940 589 052 | ||
8 | DOGE | Dogecoin predictions | 83.2% | 32 | $0.154651 | 2.99% | 7.12% | $22 321 793 294 | ||
9 | TON | Toncoin predictions | 66.4% | 66 | $6.42 | -3.60% | -7.40% | $22 317 928 096 | ||
10 | ADA | Cardano predictions | 83.2% | 23 | $0.483023 | 4.10% | 8.17% | $17 232 037 643 | ||
11 | SHIB | SHIBA INU predictions | 79.2% | 42 | $0.000025 | 1.93% | 10.02% | $14 626 352 554 | ||
12 | AVAX | Avalanche predictions | 78% | 36 | $37.24 | 6.72% | 10.79% | $14 244 757 890 | ||
13 | TRX | TRON predictions | 82.4% | 34 | $0.124371 | 0.17% | -1.76% | $10 876 019 587 | ||
14 | WTRX | Wrapped TRON predictions | 82.4% | 34 | $0.124346 | -0.16% | -2.04% | $10 873 816 642 | ||
15 | WBTC | Wrapped Bitcoin predictions | 87.2% | 17 | $66 888.83 | 1.97% | 9.93% | $10 400 984 474 |
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