ETH price is storming toward a key resistance level, but pro traders are reluctant to add leverage for three important reasons. Even though Ether (ETH) price bounced over 20% from the $2,300 low on Feb. 22, derivatives data shows that investors are still cautious. To date, Ether's price is down 24% for the year, and key overhead resistances lay ahead. Ethereum's most pressing issue has been high network transaction fees and investors are increasingly worried that this will remain an issue even after the network integrates its long-awaited upgrades.
For example, the 7-day network average transaction fee is still above $18, while the network value locked in smart contracts (TVL) decreased 25% to $111 billion between Jan. 1 and Feb. 27. This negative indicator could partially explain why Ether has been down-trending since early February.
The above channel currently shows resistance at $3,100, while the daily closing price support stands at $2,500. Therefore, a 14% rally from the current $2,750 level needs to happen for the prevailing downward trend to be canceled.
The 25% delta skew compares equivalent call (buy) and put (sell) options. The indicator will turn positive when "fear" is prevalent because the protective put options premium is higher than the call options. The opposite holds when market makers are bullish, causing the 25% delta skew to shift to the negative area. Readings between negative 8% and positive 8% are usually deemed neutral. The above chart shows that Ether option traders have been signaling bearishness since Feb. 11, just as Ether failed to break the $3,200 resistance. Furthermore, the current 8.5% reading shows no confidence from market markers and whales despite the 7.5% price increase on Feb. 28.
Exchange-provided data highlights traders' long-to-short net positioning. By analyzing every client's position on the spot, perpetual and futures contracts, one can better understand whether professional traders are leaning bullish or bearish. There are occasional methodological discrepancies between different exchanges, so viewers should monitor changes instead of absolute figures. Even with Ether's 21.5% rally since Feb. 24, top traders on Binance, Huobi and OKX have decreased their leverage longs. More precisely, Huobi was the only exchange facing a modest reduction in the top traders' long-to-short ratio as the indicator moved from 1.04 to 1.07.
However, this impact was more than compensated by OKX traders increasing their bullish bets from 2.15 to 1.58 from Feb. 24 to Feb. 28. On average, top traders decreased their longs by 8% over the past four days.
From the perspective of the metrics discussed above, there is hardly a sense of bullishness present in the Ether market. Moreover, data suggests that pro traders are unwilling to add long positions as expressed by both futures and options markets. Of course, even professional traders get it wrong, and a short cover should happen if Ether breaks the current downtrend channel $3,100 resistance. Still, it's also important to at least recognize that there's little interest in buying using derivatives at the current level.
|#||Crypto||Prediction||Accuracy||CVIX||Price||24h||7d||Market Cap||7d price change|
|1||BTC||Bitcoin predictions||59.6%||92||$20 358.95||-1.33%||-0.55%||$388 446 303 368|
|2||ETH||Ethereum predictions||55.2%||90||$1 152.46||-1.93%||4.48%||$139 837 109 318|
|3||USDT||Tether predictions||94.4%||1||$0.998816||-0.02%||-0.02%||$66 745 776 786|
|4||USDC||USD Coin predictions||93.6%||1||$1.000328||0.02%||0.03%||$55 820 927 466|
|5||BNB||Binance Coin predictions||58.4%||89||$229.42||-1.07%||5.78%||$37 459 518 058|
|6||BUSD||Binance USD predictions||91.6%||1||$0.999158||-0.18%||0.06%||$17 369 031 848|
|7||XRP||XRP predictions||62%||80||$0.336907||-1.76%||4.22%||$16 287 125 919|
|8||ADA||Cardano predictions||65.6%||75||$0.474957||-1.02%||1.44%||$16 117 202 321|
|9||SOL||Solana predictions||68%||66||$35.68||-4.55%||1.04%||$12 230 152 580|
|10||DOGE||Dogecoin predictions||61.6%||80||$0.067308||-3.10%||5.51%||$8 929 753 009|
|11||DOT||Polkadot predictions||63.2%||78||$7.42||-1.67%||-1.75%||$7 329 831 546|
|12||DAI||Dai predictions||92%||1||$1.000154||0.06%||0.05%||$6 718 496 522|
|13||TRX||TRON predictions||55.6%||91||$0.066274||0.93%||2.59%||$6 130 034 055|
|14||SHIB||SHIBA INU predictions||63.2%||74||$0.000010||-5.15%||3.23%||$5 583 599 858|
|15||LEO||UNUS SED LEO predictions||76.8%||50||$5.74||-1.31%||-1.91%||$5 479 483 866|
Get cryptocurrency price predictions, forecasts with analysis and news right to your inbox.
© 2015-2022 Crypto-Rating.com
The usage of this website constitutes acceptance of the following legal information. Any contracts of financial instruments offered to conclude bear high risks and may result in the full loss of the deposited funds. Prior to making transactions one should get acquainted with the risks to which they relate. All the information featured on the website, including information about the cryptocurrencies and bitcoin is intended solely for informational purposes, is not a means of advertising them, and doesn't imply direct instructions for investing. Crypto Rating shall not be liable for any loss, including unlimited loss of funds, which may arise directly or indirectly from the usage of this information. The editorial staff of the website does not bear any responsibility whatsoever for the content of the comments or reviews made by the site users about cryptocurrencies. The entire responsibility for the contents rests with the authors. Reprint of the materials is available only with the permission of the editorial staff.