Risk-averse traders who believe Ethereum is in a bull trend often use the Iron Condor options strategy to limit their downside risk. Ether (ETH) has been making higher lows throughout 2021, and the current trend indicates that $1,800 might be the bottom for April. Even traders and investors who do not rely on technicals have become optimists after Visa initiated a pilot to settle transactions in USD Coin (USDC) through the Ethereum network.
Given that Ether's price is looking like it's ready to pursue new yearly highs, there's a few investment options on the table. Buying and holding is an excellent strategy, as well as a leveraged long position up to 2x. The problem lies on the downside, as a 20% move would result in a 40% loss using futures contracts. Not to mention there is not much room for additional leverage as it requires a considerable upfront.
On the other hand, options strategies provide excellent opportunities for traders who have a fixed-range target. For example, for those expecting a moderate 15% price increase in thirty days, the 'Iron Condor' strategy provides 12% gains with minimal upfront funds required. This strategy also limits the downside to 10%, regardless of how the asset performs.
This bullish strategy consists of buying 10 Ether worth of $1,600 put options while simultaneously selling the same amount of $2,240 calls. To finalize the trade, the buyer will sell 7.5 Ether worth of $2,080 put options and balance it by buying 8 Ether contracts of $2,880 call.
Unlike perpetual futures (inverse swaps), options have a set expiry date, so the expected outcome must happen during the defined period. The Ether (ETH) calendar option below refers to the April 30 expiry, but this strategy can also be used on Bitcoin (BTC) or applied on a different time frame.
Derivatives exchanges price these contracts in Ether, meaning the displayed profits and losses are calculated by Ether fractions at the expiry date. Considering that Ether is currently trading at $1,810, any outcome between $1,790 and $2,545 (up 40.6%) yields a net gain. For example, a 15% price increase to $2,080 results in a 1.2 ETH net gain, or $2,500.
Meanwhile, this strategy's maximum loss is 1.04 ETH, which will happen if the price on April 30 is below $1,600 (down 12%) or above $2,545. The Iron Condor strategy allure is the potential 1.2 ETH gain while losses are limited below $1,600 at expiry.
Overall this conservative strategy yields a much better risk-reward compared to leveraged futures trading because of the limited downside. The upfront cost (deposit) is 1.04 ETH, and this also reflects the maximum potential loss.
# | Crypto | Prediction | Accuracy | CVIX | Price | 24h | 7d | Market Cap | 7d price change | |
1 | BTC | Bitcoin predictions | 76% | 40 | $68 144.21 | -2.18% | 1.79% | $1 347 686 332 613 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | ETH | Ethereum predictions | 88.4% | 21 | $2 432.74 | -3.15% | -1.50% | $292 933 112 862 | ||
3 | USDT | Tether predictions | 94% | 1 | $0.999849 | 0.03% | 0.13% | $120 558 503 347 | ||
4 | BNB | Binance Coin predictions | 90% | 3 | $559.14 | -2.72% | -4.18% | $80 571 389 671 | ||
5 | SOL | Solana predictions | 70.8% | 65 | $161.74 | -3.59% | -5.66% | $76 152 698 387 | ||
6 | USDC | USD Coin predictions | 94.4% | 1 | $1.000206 | 0.03% | 0.05% | $34 881 687 500 | ||
7 | XRP | XRP predictions | 92% | 6 | $0.500590 | -2.82% | -2.60% | $28 467 867 628 | ||
8 | DOGE | Dogecoin predictions | 60.4% | 78 | $0.148946 | -8.26% | 7.81% | $21 840 127 813 | ||
9 | TRX | TRON predictions | 90% | 4 | $0.164096 | -2.02% | -1.03% | $14 186 736 232 | ||
10 | TON | Toncoin predictions | 91.2% | 13 | $4.76 | -3.35% | -3.00% | $12 108 039 231 | ||
11 | ADA | Cardano predictions | 89.2% | 7 | $0.338480 | -6.20% | 1.96% | $11 845 120 349 | ||
12 | STETH | Lido stETH predictions | 92.4% | 1 | $2 941.39 | -0.40% | -3.32% | $10 258 752 564 | ||
13 | WTRX | Wrapped TRON predictions | 92.4% | 1 | $0.116354 | -0.46% | 0.23% | $10 171 995 609 | ||
14 | WBTC | Wrapped Bitcoin predictions | 92.4% | 1 | $65 806.83 | 0.78% | -2.68% | $10 083 957 608 | ||
15 | SHIB | SHIBA INU predictions | 80.4% | 29 | $0.000017 | -5.57% | -0.81% | $9 910 281 096 |
Get cryptocurrency price predictions, forecasts with analysis and news right to your inbox.
© 2015-2024 Crypto-Rating.com
The usage of this website constitutes acceptance of the following legal information. Any contracts of financial instruments offered to conclude bear high risks and may result in the full loss of the deposited funds. Prior to making transactions one should get acquainted with the risks to which they relate. All the information featured on the website, including information about the cryptocurrencies and bitcoin is intended solely for informational purposes, is not a means of advertising them, and doesn't imply direct instructions for investing. Crypto Rating shall not be liable for any loss, including unlimited loss of funds, which may arise directly or indirectly from the usage of this information. The editorial staff of the website does not bear any responsibility whatsoever for the content of the comments or reviews made by the site users about cryptocurrencies. The entire responsibility for the contents rests with the authors. Reprint of the materials is available only with the permission of the editorial staff.