BTC$65 050.15


ETH$3 405.15




Binance Coin




USD Coin


BTC bull run has at least 6 months to go

04 Oct 2021


$50,000 may not come easily, but zooming out, there’s barely a bear in the house when it comes to Bitcoin price action. Bitcoin (BTC) starts a new week fresh from its first attempt to crack $50,000 in over a month - what’s in store next? After an encouraging weekend, BTC/USD faces an increasingly bullish macroclimate and a host of expectations from analysts who demand that October changes the game.

Q4, they say, should be unlike anything yet seen in the current Bitcoin bull run, and the latest estimates even argue that there is more than six months left to prove it.

With “Uptober” set for its first full week, Cointelegraph takes a look at what factors could be next to move the market in the coming days. Stocks may have had a flat September, but the first few days of the new month have already shown how just a little good news can see Bitcoin outperform the macro pack. While the S&P 500 fell 5% in September, BTC/USD closed the month around $4,000 below where it closed out August. Since Oct. 1, however, the pair’s fortunes have firmly set a different tone, and against expectations for stocks to rally at the expense of the United States dollar, positive headwinds for Bitcoin may well continue.

“Q4 2021 will likely record a higher-than-average return,” CNBC quoted Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist of research firm CFRA, as saying over the weekend. “However, investors will need to hang on tight during the typically tumultuous ride in October, which saw 36% higher volatility when compared with the average for the other 11 months.”

Last week’s sentiment was driven by the vote on the U.S. infrastructure bill, this now being pushed back until, at the latest, Oct. 31. As it stands, USD is at its highest in over a year, as measured by the U.S. dollar currency index (DXY). A reversal in recent days — traditionally a bullish catalyst for Bitcoin — is on traders’ radar. For popular Twitter trader Crypto Ed, a DXY correction could even last months rather than weeks.

$50,000, but not yet

After clipping $49,000 over the weekend, Bitcoin is clearly lining up an attack on the all-important $50,000 mark — just not quite yet. Despite bullish impulses, Sunday’s latest break to the upside ended with a hefty rejection and subsequent drop of almost $2,000. Commentators broadly dismissed this as being a bearish signal, however, maintaining that any BTC price weakness will be temporary.

Among them is Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe, who on the day repeated his recent theory about brief consolidation followed by a fresh bullish breakout. Fellow trader Pentoshi, meanwhile, likened the situation to last year’s Q4 activity when it was $20,000, not $64,500, that Bitcoin needed to beat.

“I don’t really care for low time frames. I care about the macro market structure,” he said in accompanying Twitter comments.

Drop or no drop, BTC/USD likewise put in a solid weekly close of $48,234 — and in so doing, canceled out its previous two weeks’ action entirely. Trader and analyst Rekt Capital additionally noted the Pi Cycle 111-day moving average holding as support, fuelling the recent rally.

New hash rate all-time highs trickle in

You can never know for sure, but by some estimates, Bitcoin’s hash rate has already hit new all-time highs. Less than five months after China sparked a mass migration of miners and equipment due to a regulatory crackdown, data sources are showing that the fundamental metric has fully compensated for the upheaval. Not only that, but the hash rate may have even hit 200 exahashes per second (EH/s) in recent days — a full 32 EH/s above its previous peak.

Measuring the hash rate is difficult — mining power dedicated to Bitcoin is impossible to ascertain exactly, and so any depiction can only be a guess. While different sources vary widely — CoinWarz recorded 201 EH/s on Oct. 2, while MiningPoolStats currently shows just 138 EH/s — the overall trend is undebatable.

Bitcoin network fundamentals are firmly in “up only” mode, reflecting the continued long-term conviction miners have on profitability.

“China kicked out nearly 90% of bitcoin miners in the country earlier this year. Hash rate fell approximately 50% as a result,” Morgan Creek Digital co-founder Anthony Pompliano commented on the data. “Only a few months later and we are almost back to an all-time high. Economic incentives drive further network decentralization.”

As Cointelegraph reported last week, the difficulty is also set to challenge records this week, with the next adjustment likely being the seventh increase in a row. This has not happened since 2019, while difficulty remains around 20% below its all-time highs seen in May.

Halfway through?

It’s no secret that Bitcoin’s best-known analysts are calling for a spectacular Q4 performance from BTC price action. For PlanB, creator of the stock-to-flow model family, the “worst case scenario” for Bitcoin has come true two months running. His floor estimates now call for $63,000 by the end of October — and a whopping $98,000 for the November close. Zooming out, however, the picture remains even rosier for Bitcoin bulls, he says. In his latest stock-to-flow cross-asset (S2FX) update, PlanB showed price behavior being roughly 50% through its bull cycle, leaving the door open for rapid gains.

“IMO we are midway, no sign of weakness (red) yet. Note color overlay is not months to halving but an on-chain signal,” he commented on the chart. “My guess: this 2nd leg of the bull market will have at least 6 more months to go.”

Bitcoin still has to play catch-up with stock-to-flow’s daily estimates, with spot price having deviated by record proportions in recent months. For Monday, according to monitoring resource S2F Multiple, BTC/USD should be trading at just over $100,000.

Pricing in a Bitcoin ETF

As Cointelegraph reported, the odds are on for some sort of Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) to get U.S. regulatory approval this month. A futures-based ETF go-ahead is likely first, as the Securities and Exchange Commission “kicked the can” regarding a decision on a traditional product until at least November. The market has been pricing in the landmark moment for some time, but a decision could nonetheless upend sentiment and, with it, the current state of play in the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GTBC).

Despite price action in recent weeks, the fund’s discount to spot price has remained significant, currently lingering near 14%. Grayscale has said that it intends to convert its flagship crypto funds to ETFs when circumstances allow, while data shows that business is anything but suffering.

“GBTC utterly dominates in volume vs bitcoin fund peers trading 10x more than any other in $ terms,” Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted last week.


NordFX Copy Trading: A Comprehensive Guide to Maximizing Profits
NordFX Copy Trading: A Comprehensive Guide to Maximizing Profits
Tips to Choose the Right Second Citizenship Program
Tips to Choose the Right Second Citizenship Program
Bitcoin’s continued slide down
Bitcoin’s continued slide down
A new round of crypto market mistrust
A new round of crypto market mistrust
Bitcoin holds its range, but pressure mounts
Bitcoin holds its range, but pressure mounts
Bitcoin unlikely to end correction
Bitcoin unlikely to end correction
Bitcoin looks set to take a severe dive
Bitcoin looks set to take a severe dive
Bitcoin set for a deeper correction
Bitcoin set for a deeper correction
Bitcoin falls under pressure
Bitcoin falls under pressure

Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap 7d price change
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 89.2% 15 $65 050.15 -2.08% -5.31% $1 282 381 498 798 BTC 7 days price change
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 83.2% 23 $3 405.15 -5.63% -6.09% $416 371 407 438 ETH 7 days price change
3 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 91.2% 1 $1.000085 0.08% 0.03% $112 562 166 877 USDT 7 days price change
4 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 83.2% 25 $586.04 -3.53% -5.32% $86 490 719 528 BNB 7 days price change
5 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 76.8% 40 $132.95 -10.70% -15.37% $61 396 036 364 SOL 7 days price change
6 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 91.6% 3 $1.000242 0.02% 0.01% $32 548 547 004 USDC 7 days price change
7 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 83.2% 31 $0.482647 -0.76% -0.88% $26 820 915 414 XRP 7 days price change
8 Toncoin (TON) TON Toncoin predictions 68% 67 $7.35 -7.80% 3.60% $17 922 555 725 TON 7 days price change
9 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 67.2% 61 $0.118312 -13.25% -16.41% $17 126 164 916 DOGE 7 days price change
10 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 79.2% 40 $0.369609 -10.94% -15.02% $13 207 774 437 ADA 7 days price change
11 SHIBA INU (SHIB) SHIB SHIBA INU predictions 57.2% 94 $0.000018 -14.70% -21.16% $10 404 166 604 SHIB 7 days price change
12 Lido stETH (STETH) STETH Lido stETH predictions 93.2% 1 $2 941.39 -0.40% -3.32% $10 258 752 564 STETH 7 days price change
13 Avalanche (AVAX) AVAX Avalanche predictions 68.8% 58 $26.01 -12.71% -18.07% $10 232 271 315 AVAX 7 days price change
14 Wrapped TRON (WTRX) WTRX Wrapped TRON predictions 88.4% 9 $0.114599 -2.57% -2.46% $10 018 572 668 WTRX 7 days price change
15 TRON (TRX) TRX TRON predictions 92.8% 9 $0.114477 -2.91% -2.55% $9 990 678 307 TRX 7 days price change

Be the first to receive Cryptocurrency Price Predictions and Forecasts daily

Get cryptocurrency price predictions, forecasts with analysis and news right to your inbox.

© 2015-2024

The usage of this website constitutes acceptance of the following legal information. Any contracts of financial instruments offered to conclude bear high risks and may result in the full loss of the deposited funds. Prior to making transactions one should get acquainted with the risks to which they relate. All the information featured on the website, including information about the cryptocurrencies and bitcoin is intended solely for informational purposes, is not a means of advertising them, and doesn't imply direct instructions for investing. Crypto Rating shall not be liable for any loss, including unlimited loss of funds, which may arise directly or indirectly from the usage of this information. The editorial staff of the website does not bear any responsibility whatsoever for the content of the comments or reviews made by the site users about cryptocurrencies. The entire responsibility for the contents rests with the authors. Reprint of the materials is available only with the permission of the editorial staff.