Bitcoin to hit $100,000 this year? Standard Chartered thinks it might
Analysts at Standard Chartered have presented a framework for valuing Bitcoin, saying structurally they ‘value’ the world’s largest cryptocurrency in a $50,000-$175,000 range. Cyclically, the bank expects Bitcoin to peak around $100,000 in late 2021 or early 2022. In its first report on crypto assets, Standard Chartered cites three main reasons for its structural valuation for Bitcoin.
- As a medium of exchange - Bitcoin may become the dominant peer-to-peer payment method for the global unbanked in a future cashless world.
- As a store of value – Bitcoin enjoys a potential premium given the slow pace of increase in supply.
- Portfolio optimisation – Starting the optimisation from the previous peak (around $20,000 in 2017) gives an optimal allocation to cryptocurrencies of around 2% of global portfolios.
The bank says these three approaches put Bitcoin’s value in the range of $50,000-$175,000. Standard Chartered notes that Bitcoin prices tend to peak around 1.5 years after new supply reduction, with the growth rate of new supply cut in half roughly every 4.5 years. For this cycle, the peak would be late 2021 or early 2022 and it would only take a cyclical 12x increase for the peak to be above $100,000. Bitcoin rose 28x following the previous halving of supply growth and 93x following the 2012 halving.
Ethereum
Standard Chartered has released a similar research report on the second largest cryptocurrency by market cap, Ethereum. Structurally, the bank values Ethereum at $26,000-$35,000, however, to reach that level it would require Bitcoin trading at the top of its valuation range ($175,000).
“A range of $26,000-$35,000 may appear high compared to the current ETH price, but we think the current price reflects both the relative complexity of ETH (versus BTC) and the uncertainty around ETH’s development,” Standard Chartered said in the research note. “In other words, while potential returns may be greater for ETH than for BTC, risks are also higher.”
Over the medium term, Standard Chartered thinks Ethereum will be a better buy than Bitcoin and expects the cross rate to roughly double from current levels to 0.161. The current ETH/BTC rate stands around 0.075.
Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions
| # | Crypto | Prediction | Accuracy | CVIX | Price | 24h | 7d | Market Cap | 7d price change | |
| 1 |  BTC |
Bitcoin predictions | 84.8% | 16 | $41 800.30 | 6.07% | 12.97% | $817 650 631 149 |  |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  ETH |
Ethereum predictions | 84.8% | 27 | $2 254.14 | 4.72% | 11.49% | $271 021 537 915 |  |
|
| 3 |  USDT |
Tether predictions | 90.8% | 1 | $1.000265 | 0% | -0.01% | $89 671 342 751 |  |
|
| 4 |  BNB |
Binance Coin predictions | 82% | 26 | $231.16 | 1.80% | 1.90% | $35 066 472 230 |  |
|
| 5 |  XRP |
XRP predictions | 79.6% | 30 | $0.623299 | -0.16% | 3.17% | $33 588 707 166 |  |
|
| 6 |  SOL |
Solana predictions | 65.2% | 67 | $61.88 | -1.23% | 12.69% | $26 257 579 897 |  |
|
| 7 |  USDC |
USD Coin predictions | 96% | 1 | $1.000124 | 0.04% | -0.01% | $24 497 048 556 |  |
|
| 8 |  ADA |
Cardano predictions | 83.2% | 28 | $0.406130 | 3.91% | 6.67% | $14 340 520 491 |  |
|
| 9 |  DOGE |
Dogecoin predictions | 77.2% | 39 | $0.088204 | 4.68% | 11.59% | $12 533 317 054 |  |
|
| 10 |  STETH |
Lido stETH predictions | 91.2% | 1 | $2 941.39 | -0.40% | -3.32% | $10 258 752 564 |  |
|
| 11 |  TRX |
TRON predictions | 84.8% | 19 | $0.103896 | 0.88% | -0.38% | $9 196 297 643 |  |
|
| 12 |  WTRX |
Wrapped TRON predictions | 84% | 21 | $0.103677 | 0.55% | -0.65% | $9 176 826 999 |  |
|
| 13 |  LINK |
Chainlink predictions | 75.2% | 43 | $15.94 | 0.45% | 11.66% | $8 875 045 850 |  |
|
| 14 |  TON |
Toncoin predictions | 85.2% | 20 | $2.39 | -0.69% | -0.72% | $8 206 328 944 |  |
|
| 15 |  AVAX |
Avalanche predictions | 56.8% | 87 | $21.84 | 0% | 5.94% | $7 977 619 351 |  |
