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Bitcoin rebounds from $33K-support as US dollar inflation comes back into focus


13 Jul 2021

#Bitcoin

Bitcoin moved inversely to the dollar at the beginning of this week as traders awaited the June CPI report due Tuesday. Bitcoin (BTC) prices steadied on Tuesday after closing the previous session at a 3.41% loss, supported by a weakening dollar sentiment ahead of a key United States' inflation report due later today. Spot BTC/USD exchange rate rose by a modest 1.31% to $33,096 after bottoming out on Monday at $32,996 on Coinbase exchange. The CME Bitcoin Futures was up 1.64% from its previous session's low of $32,600.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index was down about 0.03% ahead of the London opening bell. The index represents the greenback's strength against a basket of top foreign currencies.

Inflation data awaited

Bitcoin and the dollar moved inversely in the week of key inflation reports and a crucial congressional testimony from the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. On Tuesday, the US Consumer-Price Index (CPI) expects to post another significant spike in June, highlighting a run-up in inflation as the economy attempts to recover from the coronavirus pandemic slowdown. A Reuters poll of economists noted that the CPI might have increased by 0.5% from May and 4.9% from a year earlier.

Many traders bet on Bitcoin against the prospects of higher inflation, partly due to popular narratives that project the flagship cryptocurrency as a hedge against central banks' inflationary policies that hurt fiat currencies' purchasing power.

In detail, the Federal Reserve has been running a $120 billion monthly asset purchase program since March 2020 while keeping its benchmark lending rate near zero. As a result, the U.S. central bank's policies have doubled the size of its balance sheet to more than $8 trillion. Meanwhile, the same period has witnessed Bitcoin spiking by up to 1,528%—from $3,858 to almost $65,000.

The cryptocurrency declined by more than half by the said mid-April peak but sustained its overall bullish bias by relentlessly holding $30,000 as its psychological price floor. The support came extremely handy following the previous two CPI reports showing that inflation jumped to 4.2% in April and 4.9% in May.

"The uptick in the CPI readings is an indication that the economy has not healed completely from the pangs of the pandemic, and the crypto market is trailing the negative inflation figures," Gustavo De La Torre, director of business development at N.exchange, told Cointelegraph. He added that lower Bitcoin prices combined mixed economic outlook would drive more investors to accumulate the cryptocurrency. "Should the buyup intensify, a price push up to $40,000 for Bitcoin may be seen in the short term," added De La Torre.

Additionally, Konstantin Anissimov of CEX.IO warned about Fed's potential hawkish reaction to further inflation hikes, noting that it might prompt the central bank to unwind its bond-buying program and cut interest rates earlier than expected.

"As things stand, the Federal Reserve has increased the size of its balance sheet from early 2020 to more than $8 trillion — a substantial rise," Anissimov said, adding that lower crypto prices would keep serving as the right hedge against inflationary fears for the time being. He further noted: "Both Bitcoin and Ethereum with the renewed buy-ups are likely to retest new price levels at $45,000, and $3,000, respectively."

Bitcoin enters accumulation

On-chain indicators continued to point towards an ongoing Bitcoin accumulation. As of the last week's close, as per Glassnode's data, entities with little history of selling continued piling up Bitcoin from weaker hands, while net exchange flows dipped into negative territory, suggesting that traders have been withdrawing their Bitcoin from trading platforms to hold.

"Retail has been buying heavily for weeks now, but we finally got the uptick in whales that we were waiting for," noted Will Clemente, an independent market analyst. "There were 17 new whales birthed on the blockchain this week, while at the same time the overall holdings of whales increase up by 65,429 BTC."


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Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap 7d price change
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 84.8% 19 $66 503.40 -0.65% 8.34% $1 310 162 140 242 BTC 7 days price change
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 88.4% 20 $3 078.67 -1.28% 5.59% $369 830 375 839 ETH 7 days price change
3 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 95.2% 1 $1.000029 -0.03% 0.04% $111 438 173 122 USDT 7 days price change
4 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 89.6% 6 $573.51 -1.19% -3.22% $84 642 569 477 BNB 7 days price change
5 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 75.2% 42 $170.51 -1.50% 19.27% $76 556 546 641 SOL 7 days price change
6 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 94% 1 $1.000043 -0.01% 0.01% $33 496 798 629 USDC 7 days price change
7 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 88.8% 8 $0.510333 -2.19% 2.41% $28 215 770 436 XRP 7 days price change
8 Toncoin (TON) TON Toncoin predictions 70.8% 65 $6.28 -2.41% -10.36% $21 813 613 872 TON 7 days price change
9 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 80% 30 $0.149658 -2.79% 6.73% $21 604 956 344 DOGE 7 days price change
10 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 86% 23 $0.465359 -3.02% 6.95% $16 604 076 150 ADA 7 days price change
11 SHIBA INU (SHIB) SHIB SHIBA INU predictions 80.4% 41 $0.000024 -4.04% 7.28% $13 986 369 705 SHIB 7 days price change
12 Avalanche (AVAX) AVAX Avalanche predictions 80% 38 $35.58 -4.98% 8.51% $13 620 879 971 AVAX 7 days price change
13 TRON (TRX) TRX TRON predictions 86% 21 $0.121132 -1.02% -4.68% $10 591 997 443 TRX 7 days price change
14 Wrapped TRON (WTRX) WTRX Wrapped TRON predictions 85.6% 18 $0.121054 -1.15% -4.68% $10 585 118 485 WTRX 7 days price change
15 Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) WBTC Wrapped Bitcoin predictions 89.2% 18 $66 386.79 -0.80% 8.28% $10 322 918 427 WBTC 7 days price change

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