Bitcoin
BTC$41 312.94

-1.79%

Ethereum
ETH$3 057.90

-4.13%

Tether
USDT$1.000957

0.03%

Binance Coin
BNB$454.95

-4.03%

Cardano
ADA$1.37

-11.53%

USD Coin
USDC$0.999548

-0.04%

Analysts eye $40K Bitcoin price after today’s dip to $45.7K


14 Dec 2021

#Bitcoin

BTC price slumped to an intraday low at $45,672 and analysts say a classic technical analysis pattern and on-chain data point toward a strong flush down to $40,000. On Monday, Bitcoin’s short-term outlook worsened after the price fell to an intra-day low at $45,672, a far cry from the weekend’s promising rally above the $50,000 level.  With the year nearly complete, and all-time highs nearly 33% away, traders are most likely readjusting their expectations and pushing the $100,000 BTC target a bit further into 2022.

Day traders, 4-hour chart watchers and over-leveraged longs are likely freaking out (unless they went short from $50,000 over the weekend or at this morning’s weakness), but let’s zoom out a little bit to see where Bitcoin price stands. On the daily timeframe, we can see the price struggling to breakout away from the trend of daily lower highs and aside from the Dec. 4 drop to $42,000, traders appear apprehensive to buy into the most recent dips.

Tracking moving averages has always been a relatively simple way to swing trade BTC and currently the 20-day moving average (blue) is below the the 50-day MA (orange). Some traders simply buy when an asset secures a few daily closes above the 20-MA and sell when the price falls below it because this is a sign that the short-term trend is weakening. Following this practice, momentum traders might wait for BTC to secure a daily close above the moving average at $53,000 before opening new long positions. More risk averse traders might consider waiting for convergence between the 20- and 50-MA as a clearer sign of a trend reversal. Taking a quick look at the last year of price action proves that the strategy is pretty effective.

Why some traders expect more downside

More experienced traders know that Bitcoin price has a tendency to make double tops, M-tops and head and shoulders patterns after hitting new all-time highs. Lately, analysts on crypto Twitter have pointed to what they perceive to be a double top, which is a clear trend reversal pattern.

Looking at the daily time frame, we can begin to see what looks like the start of a head and shoulders pattern. The current dips and following consolidation could eventually complete the right shoulder, with a neckline at $41,500, and a price target near a number so unbelievably low that it won’t be written here.

Traders will also notice that the neckline of said head and shoulders pattern aligns with a wide gap on the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) indicator, which shows increased buying interest right at the $40,000 level. At the moment, it’s too early to make too much fuss about the existence of a H&S pattern, especially since analysis of price action cannot be determined by a single indicator, but it is still something worth noting. Data from an on-chain analysis outlet, Whalemap, also pinpoints the $40,000 level as an area to watch closely. While speaking to Cointelegraph, analysts at Whalemap said,

“Basically, if we start closing daily candles below the support outlined above, we will probably go to a lower one. The closest below us is around $40,000.”

While Bitcoin’s current price action does little to inspire confidence in traders who bought higher or expected price to trade in the $74,000 to $80,000 range in December, analyst Mohit Sorout recently pointed out that phases of negative funding have proven to be great buying opportunities. On the daily timeframe the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) are also oversold, both of which have historically pointed to accumulation phases and good opportunities to dollar cost average into fresh long positions.


Related

Bitcoin stays in tight range as analyst eyes potential interesting week in BTC
Bitcoin stays in tight range as analyst eyes potential interesting week in BTC
Cryptomarket changing landscape
Cryptomarket changing landscape
Cryptocurrencies rebounded as part of a general downward trend
Cryptocurrencies rebounded as part of a general downward trend
Expert warns higher inflation could whip BTC price to $30K
Expert warns higher inflation could whip BTC price to $30K
Bitcoin continued its downward trend
Bitcoin continued its downward trend
Trade For More, with multiple fees slashed to zero on all crypto CFDs
Trade For More, with multiple fees slashed to zero on all crypto CFDs
Bitcoin reaches for $47K as analysts agree BTC price consolidation cannot last
Bitcoin reaches for $47K as analysts agree BTC price consolidation cannot last
Bitcoin dips below $47K as US dollar surge dampens BTC price performance
Bitcoin dips below $47K as US dollar surge dampens BTC price performance
Bitcoin holdings of public companies have surged in 2021
Bitcoin holdings of public companies have surged in 2021

Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap 7d price change
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 71.2% 61 $41 312.94 -1.79% -2.97% $782 208 393 376 BTC 7 days price change
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 64.4% 76 $3 057.90 -4.13% -4.99% $364 557 204 266 ETH 7 days price change
3 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 96% 1 $1.000957 0.03% 0.07% $78 389 539 616 USDT 7 days price change
4 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 70% 60 $454.95 -4.03% -0.74% $75 119 228 033 BNB 7 days price change
5 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 76% 52 $1.37 -11.53% 13.83% $45 869 836 376 ADA 7 days price change
6 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 96% 1 $0.999548 -0.04% -0.05% $45 742 193 035 USDC 7 days price change
7 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 62.8% 81 $134.45 -3.98% -3.06% $42 237 959 711 SOL 7 days price change
8 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 69.2% 65 $0.728701 -3.80% -4.17% $34 732 162 139 XRP 7 days price change
9 Terra (LUNA) LUNA Terra predictions 74% 57 $76.09 -1.12% 0.67% $27 219 693 512 LUNA 7 days price change
10 Polkadot (DOT) DOT Polkadot predictions 73.2% 51 $23.84 -5.97% -7.36% $23 544 579 275 DOT 7 days price change
11 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 75.2% 45 $0.160728 -5.76% 5.59% $21 323 857 260 DOGE 7 days price change
12 Avalanche (AVAX) AVAX Avalanche predictions 61.2% 79 $81.61 -6.07% -9.81% $19 942 092 907 AVAX 7 days price change
13 SHIBA INU (SHIB) SHIB SHIBA INU predictions 70% 63 $0.000027 -4.93% -3.67% $15 025 615 032 SHIB 7 days price change
14 Polygon (MATIC) MATIC Polygon predictions 68.4% 59 $2.02 -8.18% -12.60% $14 789 690 265 MATIC 7 days price change
15 Binance USD (BUSD) BUSD Binance USD predictions 90.8% 1 $0.999731 -0.10% -0.13% $14 211 573 940 BUSD 7 days price change

Be the first to receive Cryptocurrency Price Predictions and Forecasts daily

Get cryptocurrency price predictions, forecasts with analysis and news right to your inbox.

© 2015-2022 Crypto-Rating.com

The usage of this website constitutes acceptance of the following legal information. Any contracts of financial instruments offered to conclude bear high risks and may result in the full loss of the deposited funds. Prior to making transactions one should get acquainted with the risks to which they relate. All the information featured on the website, including information about the cryptocurrencies and bitcoin is intended solely for informational purposes, is not a means of advertising them, and doesn't imply direct instructions for investing. Crypto Rating shall not be liable for any loss, including unlimited loss of funds, which may arise directly or indirectly from the usage of this information. The editorial staff of the website does not bear any responsibility whatsoever for the content of the comments or reviews made by the site users about cryptocurrencies. The entire responsibility for the contents rests with the authors. Reprint of the materials is available only with the permission of the editorial staff.