Bitcoin
BTC$57 125.03

1.84%

Ethereum
ETH$3 256.32

1.07%

Tether
USDT$1.000514

0.03%

Binance Coin
BNB$398.06

-0.14%

Solana
SOL$108.72

-1.46%

XRP
XRP$0.578854

4.33%

Analysts eye $40K Bitcoin price after today’s dip to $45.7K


14 Dec 2021

#Bitcoin

BTC price slumped to an intraday low at $45,672 and analysts say a classic technical analysis pattern and on-chain data point toward a strong flush down to $40,000. On Monday, Bitcoin’s short-term outlook worsened after the price fell to an intra-day low at $45,672, a far cry from the weekend’s promising rally above the $50,000 level.  With the year nearly complete, and all-time highs nearly 33% away, traders are most likely readjusting their expectations and pushing the $100,000 BTC target a bit further into 2022.

Day traders, 4-hour chart watchers and over-leveraged longs are likely freaking out (unless they went short from $50,000 over the weekend or at this morning’s weakness), but let’s zoom out a little bit to see where Bitcoin price stands. On the daily timeframe, we can see the price struggling to breakout away from the trend of daily lower highs and aside from the Dec. 4 drop to $42,000, traders appear apprehensive to buy into the most recent dips.

Tracking moving averages has always been a relatively simple way to swing trade BTC and currently the 20-day moving average (blue) is below the the 50-day MA (orange). Some traders simply buy when an asset secures a few daily closes above the 20-MA and sell when the price falls below it because this is a sign that the short-term trend is weakening. Following this practice, momentum traders might wait for BTC to secure a daily close above the moving average at $53,000 before opening new long positions. More risk averse traders might consider waiting for convergence between the 20- and 50-MA as a clearer sign of a trend reversal. Taking a quick look at the last year of price action proves that the strategy is pretty effective.

Why some traders expect more downside

More experienced traders know that Bitcoin price has a tendency to make double tops, M-tops and head and shoulders patterns after hitting new all-time highs. Lately, analysts on crypto Twitter have pointed to what they perceive to be a double top, which is a clear trend reversal pattern.

Looking at the daily time frame, we can begin to see what looks like the start of a head and shoulders pattern. The current dips and following consolidation could eventually complete the right shoulder, with a neckline at $41,500, and a price target near a number so unbelievably low that it won’t be written here.

Traders will also notice that the neckline of said head and shoulders pattern aligns with a wide gap on the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) indicator, which shows increased buying interest right at the $40,000 level. At the moment, it’s too early to make too much fuss about the existence of a H&S pattern, especially since analysis of price action cannot be determined by a single indicator, but it is still something worth noting. Data from an on-chain analysis outlet, Whalemap, also pinpoints the $40,000 level as an area to watch closely. While speaking to Cointelegraph, analysts at Whalemap said,

“Basically, if we start closing daily candles below the support outlined above, we will probably go to a lower one. The closest below us is around $40,000.”

While Bitcoin’s current price action does little to inspire confidence in traders who bought higher or expected price to trade in the $74,000 to $80,000 range in December, analyst Mohit Sorout recently pointed out that phases of negative funding have proven to be great buying opportunities. On the daily timeframe the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) are also oversold, both of which have historically pointed to accumulation phases and good opportunities to dollar cost average into fresh long positions.


Related

NordFX Copy Trading: A Comprehensive Guide to Maximizing Profits
NordFX Copy Trading: A Comprehensive Guide to Maximizing Profits
Tips to Choose the Right Second Citizenship Program
Tips to Choose the Right Second Citizenship Program
Bitcoin’s continued slide down
Bitcoin’s continued slide down
A new round of crypto market mistrust
A new round of crypto market mistrust
Bitcoin holds its range, but pressure mounts
Bitcoin holds its range, but pressure mounts
Bitcoin unlikely to end correction
Bitcoin unlikely to end correction
Bitcoin looks set to take a severe dive
Bitcoin looks set to take a severe dive
Bitcoin set for a deeper correction
Bitcoin set for a deeper correction
Bitcoin falls under pressure
Bitcoin falls under pressure

Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap 7d price change
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 65.2% 77 $57 125.03 1.84% 10.16% $1 121 917 971 187 BTC 7 days price change
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 62.4% 80 $3 256.32 1.07% 9.26% $391 249 577 993 ETH 7 days price change
3 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 94.8% 1 $1.000514 0.03% 0.05% $98 441 517 000 USDT 7 days price change
4 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 67.2% 70 $398.06 -0.14% 12.35% $59 527 517 481 BNB 7 days price change
5 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 79.6% 40 $108.72 -1.46% 2.19% $48 108 110 616 SOL 7 days price change
6 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 82.4% 29 $0.578854 4.33% 4.70% $31 602 076 437 XRP 7 days price change
7 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 94% 1 $0.999964 0.01% 0% $28 534 837 343 USDC 7 days price change
8 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 67.6% 66 $0.620017 -0.62% 2.74% $21 995 107 432 ADA 7 days price change
9 Avalanche (AVAX) AVAX Avalanche predictions 72.8% 52 $39.33 -0.13% 4.39% $14 836 058 547 AVAX 7 days price change
10 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 84.8% 27 $0.095642 5.26% 12.56% $13 701 198 520 DOGE 7 days price change
11 TRON (TRX) TRX TRON predictions 68% 63 $0.143274 1.71% 2.21% $12 607 201 135 TRX 7 days price change
12 Wrapped TRON (WTRX) WTRX Wrapped TRON predictions 66.8% 61 $0.143060 1.86% 2.23% $12 588 400 022 WTRX 7 days price change
13 Chainlink (LINK) LINK Chainlink predictions 76.4% 43 $18.98 -0.62% 0.27% $11 141 726 258 LINK 7 days price change
14 Polkadot (DOT) DOT Polkadot predictions 74.8% 50 $8.26 1.56% 10.00% $10 609 272 807 DOT 7 days price change
15 Lido stETH (STETH) STETH Lido stETH predictions 92% 1 $2 941.39 -0.40% -3.32% $10 258 752 564 STETH 7 days price change

Be the first to receive Cryptocurrency Price Predictions and Forecasts daily

Get cryptocurrency price predictions, forecasts with analysis and news right to your inbox.

© 2015-2024 Crypto-Rating.com

The usage of this website constitutes acceptance of the following legal information. Any contracts of financial instruments offered to conclude bear high risks and may result in the full loss of the deposited funds. Prior to making transactions one should get acquainted with the risks to which they relate. All the information featured on the website, including information about the cryptocurrencies and bitcoin is intended solely for informational purposes, is not a means of advertising them, and doesn't imply direct instructions for investing. Crypto Rating shall not be liable for any loss, including unlimited loss of funds, which may arise directly or indirectly from the usage of this information. The editorial staff of the website does not bear any responsibility whatsoever for the content of the comments or reviews made by the site users about cryptocurrencies. The entire responsibility for the contents rests with the authors. Reprint of the materials is available only with the permission of the editorial staff.