Numeraire (NMR): Probably the Most Underrated Altcoin

June 9, 2020   Numeraire

Not all altcoins that are ranked below the top 50 have the price action chart that is reminiscent of a dead man’s cardiogram. Numeraire (NMR) is actually the one that displays very distinctive signs of revival after a correction that lasted for almost two years. Although the coin appears to have been lying in hiding for the entirety of the last year - it didn’t emerge on the radars of that many traders and analysts - it had been juicing up and making preparation for a big move that has immediately put NMR in the limelight.

Firstly, take a moment to appreciate the gains which this unpopularized cryptocurrency has been putting up for many months now, performing marvelously against USD and the two most important cryptocurrencies.

The astonishing feature regarding Numeraire is that its prime time just so happens to coincide with the biggest market crash of the last three years. The chart below shows how NMR went from rags to riches in the middle of March, right when nearly all cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, have been trying to regain their composure after the COVID-19 blow. Numeraire had been trying to lock horns with BTC during the month that preceded the collapse, but it was not until after it that NMR had really put the pedal to the metal, leaving both dominant coins to bite the dust.

NMR/BTC/ETH year-to-date chart

The same applies to the neighboring currencies, DigixDao (DGD) and KuCoin Shares (KCS) - after spending some time lurking in the shadows, Numeraire shot up like a cannonball and made 200% gains in just a month.

NMR/DGD/KCS comparison chart

Obviously, these graphs provide sufficient enough reason to consider getting engaged in NMR trading, but the question that needs to be answered right now is whether it would be practical to enter a long position now or wait for a pullback and then get involved in this market. Or maybe this bull rally has already run out of steam?

Numeraire needs to cool off

After several weeks of ceaseless pumping, NMR has penetrated the long-standing secondary downtrend resistance quite decisively - it happened at the price level of $24 - after a three-week period of testing and failing. The present upside impulse is very powerful as Numeraire appears to be striving to close the week above the current $34.4, or even make an attempt at the first serious resistance at $37, which was the last major lower high from the past two years.

1-week NMR/USD chart

But even if Numeraire does make a little extra push to the upside, we reckon that it won’t be able to go past $37 due to the following reasons:

  • The price hasn’t tested the trend resistance yet; therefore, the ongoing move still lacks proper confirmation;
  • The 14-period RSI has already crossed 80, an extremely overbought area in which the coin hadn’t been for more than two years. Besides, RSI is about to touch the ultimate resistance from which the oscillator could drop below 60, and the price will follow;
  • Stochastic is also in the overbought territory and has already made a crossing to the downside, signaling about the commencement of the retracement. The price might go a bit higher to support the testing of the $37 area, but it will inevitably fall below 80.

To summarize, there are three major resistance levels ahead of Numeraire: $37.8, $43.4, and $45.2, the first of which might be tested in the next couple of days. Since the oscillators, and other indicators, show that the market is overheated, we expect the retracement to as low as $23.7, to test the resistance, after which the uptrend will persist.

Author: Alex Paulson for

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