In a broader perspective, we see that extreme uncertainty and turbulence remain a companion to the financial market. At the end of last week, the stock market showed a decline, which was associated with the rebalancing of portfolios. The tech sector has suffered the most, which is logical given the impressive growth in recent months. Bitcoin is now also in the portfolios of most investors, so such balances will inevitably apply to the reference cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin remains 40% below its all-time highs, and US stocks continue to break records, suggesting continued upside potential for BTC. At the same time, a possible correction of the stock market carries risks for the cryptocurrency. “Bitcoin is still an emerging asset class and is therefore subject to some degree of risk aversion periods.
Cryptocurrency, unlike gold or other assets, can be moved with minimal costs. In addition, BTC is a scarce asset, as its issue will end after 21 million coins have been mined. Over the long term, Bitcoin represents the best form of safeguarding savings, and many investors are already beginning to understand this. This is why we are seeing an influx of institutional capital into BTC.
In the US, cryptocurrencies are gradually becoming mainstream. Grayscale Investment, the largest cryptocurrency trust fund, took an unprecedented step by placing Bitcoin ads on American TV. The promo is aimed at promoting investment products in the cryptocurrency field.
Investors are looking for profitability. It is this factor that can provide significant support to Bitcoin. The demand for insurance against the devaluation of the dollar pushes up the price of gold, stocks, and pulls up the prices of bitcoin and some altcoins. Recall that since the beginning of the year, bitcoin has grown in price by 64%. Given the extremely unstable situation around the stock market, the actions of central banks, the epidemic, geopolitics, cryptocurrencies have every chance to attract a more significant part of the investor portfolio.
To confirm the bullish sentiment, Bitcoin needs to gain a foothold at these levels and grow above $11000. Only this will stop investors from taking profits. However, one should be very careful about the current growth of the crypto market, since none of the global players can guarantee at least any long-term trends.
The Greed and Fear Index bounced from Fear last week to Greed as of yesterday. At the end of the working week, it switched to "Neutral", fully reflecting what is happening on the crypto market. There are not enough buyers and sellers in the market to show an increase in price dynamics. At the moment, all participants expect new triggers to appear, and the course has been stuck in a narrow trading range by the standards of a cryptocurrency for more than a month.
The benefits of long-term investments are associated with the growth trend of any asset. Historical economic statistics have proven: for the S&P 500 over a 5-year period, the average return was around 60%; the FTSE 100 index for the same time brought exchange investors 25%. Even congested markets tend to rise over a 5 year span of time, so long-term investment in a cryptocurrency portfolio is always safe. The described scheme was repeated almost every 5 years throughout the history of the economy for any financial instrument.