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Reasons Bitcoin abruptly dropped by 7.4% overnight


20 Jan 2021   #Bitcoin

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) dropped sharply from $37,800 to $35,000 overnight, liquidating $572 million worth of cryptocurrency futures positions. There are three major reasons why the price of Bitcoin declined steeply in the past 12 hours. The reasons are an overheated derivatives market, growing doubt in the market, and the lack of upside volatility. Before the pullback occurred, the Bitcoin derivatives market was extremely overheated. The futures funding rate was hovering at around 0.1%, which is 10 times higher than the average 0.01%.

The futures funding rate is a mechanism that achieves balance in the futures market by incentivizing long or short contract holders based on market sentiment. If there are more long contracts or buyers in the market, then the funding rate turns positive. If it becomes positive, then buyers have to compensate short-sellers with a portion of their contracts every eight hours, and vice versa.

Almost all major cryptocurrencies saw their funding rates spike to around 0.1% to 0.3%, which meant the market was extremely overleveraged. When the market is this overcrowded, the likelihood of a long squeeze increases, which could cause many futures contracts to get liquidated in a short period. According to researchers at Santiment, there is “trader doubt” in the market on whether BTC would hit $40,00 again. They wrote:

“Thinking face There is an increasing amount of trader doubt that #Bitcoin will revisit $40,000. But according to address activity and trade volume, the long-term trend still looks plenty healthy. Keep a close eye on whether $BTC’s usage rate stays propped up.”

The fundamentals of the Bitcoin blockchain network, such as address activity and trade volume, remain strong. However, the market sentiment has dwindled in the past week as BTC continues to struggle to break out of the $38,000 resistance area.

Source


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Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap Volume 24h
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 80.8% 27 $42 006.83 -4.17% -11.61% $790 777 578 253 $41 573 961 976
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 74.4% 50 $2 879.59 -7.07% -16.54% $338 800 687 923 $25 455 977 114
3 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 61.2% 78 $2.20 -0.66% -7.10% $70 530 174 233 $5 763 986 466
4 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 94% 1 $1.000970 0.07% 0.08% $68 659 237 949 $93 828 324 388
5 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 62.8% 78 $348.19 -6.87% -15.48% $58 542 876 453 $2 057 601 013
6 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 72% 48 $0.924682 -5.83% -13.60% $43 198 966 767 $4 659 237 045
7 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 60.8% 83 $138.11 -5.71% -4.49% $41 056 611 386 $4 034 501 259
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10 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 65.6% 78 $0.207270 -6.12% -14.82% $27 239 347 325 $2 234 082 488
11 Avalanche (AVAX) AVAX Avalanche predictions 60% 84 $72.92 -1.19% 13.58% $16 064 028 875 $2 370 386 128
12 Terra (LUNA) LUNA Terra predictions 68% 61 $35.08 -2.70% 0.04% $14 034 168 133 $2 304 712 139
13 Binance USD (BUSD) BUSD Binance USD predictions 96% 1 $1.000286 0.05% 0.03% $13 472 060 941 $7 056 846 892
14 UniSwap (UNI) UNI UniSwap predictions 62.4% 74 $19.45 -7.57% -21.12% $11 897 275 823 $467 119 485
15 Chainlink (LINK) LINK Chainlink predictions 70.4% 64 $22.48 -7.13% -20.69% $10 218 284 489 $1 660 724 551

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