Bitcoin
Bitcoin$54 970.65

-2.10%

Ethereum
Ethereum$2 616.34

7.26%

Binance Coin
Binance Coin$574.28

-1.52%

XRP
XRP$1.40

0.32%

Tether
Tether$1.00

0.01%

Cardano
Cardano$1.26

-0.17%

Price predictions

Expect market regulation avalanche if Biden beats Trump


01 Sep 2020   #Bitcoin

Former Trump chief of staff Mick Mulvaney foresees an “avalanche” of regulations if Biden wins the election, what’s this mean for Bitcoin price? Former Trump chief of staff Mick Mulvaney says a Joe Biden presidency would cause an “avalanche” of regulations. Some economists have also voiced concerns that the Biden administration would lead to a stock market pullback. 

This has led many crypto analysts to ponder what impact a strong stock market correction would have on the price of Bitcoin (BTC).

During an interview on CNBC’s Squawk Box, Mulvaney said Biden would push many regulations in a short period. He stated:

"If Trump wins you'll see a lot more of the same. He's laid down the markers to what his attitudes are about regs. If Joe Biden wins, you're going to see an absolute avalanche of regs in a very short period of time.”

Data from Skew shows Bitcoin has seen more correlation with gold than stocks in recent months. Hence, an argument could be made that a slowing stock market could actually buoy Bitcoin’s sentiment. But as seen from March to April, a bear market in stocks could lead the momentum of Bitcoin to dwindle. 

Economists are pessimistic too


According to the University of Maryland’s finance processor David Kass, increased tax rates under Biden would lead to lower profits. Over time, declining profits could cause share prices to drop, causing the stock market to slip. Kass said:

"The increased tax rates will result in lower profits and likely lower share prices. This effect may be more than offset by a larger fiscal stimulus package passed by Congress and better trade relations with countries in Europe as well as with China."

Other studies show that a Biden presidency might have minimal impact on the trend of the stock market. The WSJ says historical data indicates the election of Biden could still allow the stock market to net an average 10% annual return. Ed Finn, an opinion contributor to the WSJ, wrote:

“It's even possible that U.S. investors will enjoy annual stock returns of 15% or better during a Biden administration.”

However, there are two possible scenarios, in which a drop in stocks is likely to impact Bitcoin as well. First, if it causes the sentiment around safe-haven assets like gold to improve, it might raise the chances of a BTC rally. 

Secondly, a slump in stocks could take gold and Bitcoin with it as it did in March. If the latter scenario plays out, most assets with the exception of U.S. Treasuries are likely to decline.

What’s the most likely outcome for Bitcoin price?


Since the sentiment around the Biden presidency remains mixed, there is a high probability that it would have no meaningful impact on BTC.

When Bitcoin enters 2021, it faces a post-halving cycle as it did in 2017. Back in 2016, it took around 17 months for BTC to achieve a new peak at $20,000. If BTC follows a similar cycle, that puts the fourth quarter of 2021 as the possible next peak for the world’s leading cryptocurrency.

In the short-term, strategists predict a sell-off after a Biden election. Boston College associate dean for strategy Aleksandar Tomic said:

“What I think would be really detrimental to the stock market would be any kind of uncertainty: If there’s some kind of instability following the election, if it’s contested for a long period of time.”

Source

#source

Be the first to receive Cryptocurrency Price Predictions and Forecasts daily

Get cryptocurrency price predictions, forecasts with analysis and news right to your inbox.

© 2015-2021 Crypto-Rating.com

The usage of this website constitutes acceptance of the following legal information. Any contracts of financial instruments offered to conclude bear high risks and may result in the full loss of the deposited funds. Prior to making transactions one should get acquainted with the risks to which they relate. All the information featured on the website, including information about the cryptocurrencies and bitcoin is intended solely for informational purposes, is not a means of advertising them, and doesn't imply direct instructions for investing. Crypto Rating shall not be liable for any loss, including unlimited loss of funds, which may arise directly or indirectly from the usage of this information. The editorial staff of the website does not bear any responsibility whatsoever for the content of the comments or reviews made by the site users about cryptocurrencies. The entire responsibility for the contents rests with the authors. Reprint of the materials is available only with the permission of the editorial staff.