The top-10 Ethereum non-exchange addresses have seen an 11% decline in their holdings while on-exchange whale addresses have seen a 78% increase over the past three months. Ethereum blockchain is slated for one of the biggest updates since its inception, as it will transition to a proof-of-stake (PoS) mining consensus from its current proof-of-work (PoW) one. The Merge date is scheduled for Sept. 15, after the successful Goerli test net integration — the final test net merger before the actual transition. Ether (ETH), the native token, was on a bullish surge after the announcement of the Merge date in July with the ETH price rising to a new six-month high of over $2,000 but failed to consolidate the critical resistance.
The bullish enthusiasm in terms of token price and market sentiment seems to be on a decline as we near the Merge. A significant chunk of ETH whales has seen a sharp decline in their holdings.
Data from crypto analytic firm Santiment indicates that the gap between Ethereum's top-10 largest non-exchange addresses and exchange addresses is closing. Over the past three months, top whale addresses have sent a significant amount of ETH onto exchanges as non-exchange addresses saw a decline of 11% while exchange-based addresses have seen a 78% surge. The flow of crypto onto exchanges is considered a bearish sentiment and is often done by traders to take a profit by selling their tokens. The increase in the amount of ETH by whale addresses on exchanges suggests these whales are expecting the price to go lower in the near future.
Many market analysts also believe that the Merge would be a "buy the rumor, sell the news" type of event. Where the market rallied in the aftermath of the Merge date confirmation, but could eventually see a price decline after the key event. The saying means that if good news is expected sometime in the future, the price will often move higher in anticipation of that date, but not necessarily after. The whole anticipation is getting not bought up on the spot market but on the futures market. The Merge would mark the completion of the second of three phases in Ethereum's transition to the PoS consensus. The PoS transition process began in December 2020 with the launch of the Beacon chain.
The current phase was scheduled to be completed by mid-2021, however, due to several delays, it is now slated for the third quarter of 2022. The third phase would be the most crucial as it would introduce several scalability features such as sharding and reducing blockchain’s energy consumption significantly.
The Sept. 15 event is a significant milestone for Ethereum, however, at the same time, the Merge would only mean a change of mining consensus. Key benefits such as high transaction capacity, lower gas fees and reduction in energy consumption would all come after the completion of the third phase.
# | Crypto | Prediction | Accuracy | CVIX | Price | 24h | 7d | Market Cap | 7d price change | |
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Bitcoin predictions | 96% | 2 | $26 900.03 | -0.72% | 1.38% | $524 536 249 875 | ||
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Ethereum predictions | 94% | 3 | $1 667.19 | 0.60% | 4.76% | $200 456 859 321 | ||
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Tether predictions | 96% | 1 | $0.999922 | -0.02% | -0.01% | $83 270 117 769 | ||
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Binance Coin predictions | 94.8% | 2 | $215.62 | 0.18% | 2.51% | $33 172 815 466 | ||
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XRP predictions | 92.8% | 8 | $0.534805 | 5.33% | 4.41% | $28 511 729 803 | ||
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USD Coin predictions | 93.6% | 1 | $1.000077 | -0.02% | 0% | $25 132 883 987 | ||
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Lido stETH predictions | 91.2% | 1 | $2 941.39 | -0.40% | -3.32% | $10 258 752 564 | ||
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Wrapped TRON predictions | 85.2% | 26 | $0.088990 | 3.76% | 6.26% | $9 048 152 654 | ||
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Dogecoin predictions | 90.4% | 6 | $0.062031 | 1.02% | 1.05% | $8 759 443 620 | ||
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Cardano predictions | 90% | 7 | $0.249169 | -0.11% | 2.20% | $8 752 932 991 | ||
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Solana predictions | 86.8% | 18 | $20.26 | 2.83% | 4.73% | $8 363 109 994 | ||
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TRON predictions | 85.6% | 22 | $0.089512 | 3.56% | 7.38% | $7 973 262 569 | ||
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Toncoin predictions | 62.8% | 84 | $2.21 | -1.95% | -4.23% | $7 568 826 083 | ||
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Dai predictions | 94% | 1 | $0.999857 | -0.04% | 0.06% | $5 347 122 665 | ||
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Polkadot predictions | 93.2% | 7 | $4.08 | 0.11% | 1.80% | $5 015 443 173 |
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