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Crypto community divided on whether Bitcoin is an inflation hedge


14 Jul 2021   #Bitcoin

Market observers expressed more concerns over the Bitcoin price drop amid a significant projected spike in inflation. Amid a massive spike of the United States’ Consumer Price Index (CPI), the cryptocurrency community has divided on whether Bitcoin (BTC) is really a hedge to inflation. The CPI, an indicator measuring the average change in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods and services, saw its largest one-month increase in June over the past 13 years, Business Insider reported Tuesday. The inflation surge reportedly started in March, when CPI rose by 2.6%, followed by subsequent increases in April of 4.2% and eventually 5.4% in June.

But despite the recent growth in CPI-measured inflation, Bitcoin has allegedly failed as an inflation hedge as its price has almost halved from $64,000 in mid-April, according to some analysts.

“Bitcoin isn’t behaving like an inflation hedge anymore and will continue to remain heavy over expectations over higher yields,” Ed Moya, senior equity analyst at foreign exchange firm Oanda said in a Tuesday note. However, that inflation is viewed as transitory, which could be a reason why the June CPI report wasn’t enough of a catalyst to break Bitcoin’s sideways trading, Moya added.

The crypto community subsequently reacted to these CPI-versus-Bitcoin observations, with many industry advocates emphasizing that their early Bitcoin investment and gains “have already hedged the future.” Some Bitcoin enthusiasts pointed out that Bitcoin has been growing historically, posting massive gains over the long term.

According to some crypto experts, Bitcoin is indeed “not a great hedge against inflation.” Mati Greenspan, founder of money management firm Quantum Economics, told Cointelegraph that there “doesn’t seem to be any correlation” between Bitcoin’s price action and inflation or deflation data, stating:

“Certainly bitcoin has been a great performer over time. But most of the gains have occurred during a great global deflationary period in which all risk assets rose. Now that inflation is picking up for real, for the first time since Bitcoin's inception, it's drastically underperforming.”

The latest CPI-triggered argument brings another twist in long-running debates regarding Bitcoin as a hedge instrument. A number of financial analysts including Nassim Taleb believe that inflation has nothing to do with Bitcoin price. Still, some global investors like Paul Tudor Jones have moved into Bitcoin to protect their investments from inflation.


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Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap Volume 24h
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 83.6% 24 $48 023.28 -0.71% 3.44% $903 705 648 774 $30 868 405 829
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 71.6% 52 $3 563.80 -1.89% 4.12% $418 950 530 113 $18 493 669 977
3 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 66% 64 $2.42 -2.23% -3.43% $77 683 489 177 $3 095 901 217
4 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 68.4% 70 $421.22 -2.55% -0.83% $70 821 892 729 $1 657 577 581
5 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 96% 1 $1.000499 0.02% 0.05% $68 288 037 795 $74 172 515 331
6 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 71.2% 56 $1.093567 -2.51% -3.05% $50 984 520 461 $3 018 193 479
7 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 57.2% 89 $146.88 -7.34% -21.00% $43 597 219 268 $3 263 512 936
8 Polkadot (DOT) DOT Polkadot predictions 63.2% 83 $36.36 1.92% 15.42% $35 909 826 746 $2 318 625 572
9 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 66.4% 65 $0.254974 3.69% 0.76% $33 480 789 211 $1 873 594 606
10 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 94.8% 1 $1.000186 0.02% 0.01% $29 230 519 112 $2 845 039 489
11 UniSwap (UNI) UNI UniSwap predictions 68.8% 56 $25.82 -4.67% 9.72% $15 791 177 382 $595 594 004
12 Terra (LUNA) LUNA Terra predictions 68% 67 $36.20 -0.80% 12.70% $14 549 248 511 $1 555 371 086
13 Avalanche (AVAX) AVAX Avalanche predictions 69.2% 69 $64.76 6.83% 48.17% $14 265 392 957 $2 603 032 868
14 Chainlink (LINK) LINK Chainlink predictions 74% 56 $29.85 -5.29% 4.13% $13 491 251 604 $1 523 058 445
15 Binance USD (BUSD) BUSD Binance USD predictions 96% 1 $1.000197 0.01% 0.02% $12 747 342 580 $6 385 206 639

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