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BTC sinks below $40K, Bitcoin inflows to centralized exchanges surge


19 May 2021

#Bitcoin

High Bitcoin inflows to centralized exchanges have prompted predictions of further bearish momentum on social media. Bitcoin inflows to centralized exchanges have surged, prompting bearish speculation the crypto markets could be building up to a violent wash-out.

Lex Moskovoski, CIO at Moskovoski Capital, shared data showing that 22,917 BTC was transferred onto centralized exchanges in a single hour on May 18. Moskovoski noted the hourly inflow was the largest since the March 2020 “Black Thursday” crash.

With outflows from exchanges typically being inferred as indicating crypto assets are being moved into cold storage for security or DeFi protocols for yield generation, inflows are interpreted as assets being moved onto centralized platforms to be sold. Data compiled by on-chain crypto analytics firm Glassnode shows the past two days have seen consecutive all-time highs produced for net transfer volume onto Bitcoin on to leading centralized exchange, Binance. The data was shared by Twitter analyst William Clemente III to his 70,400 followers, triggering bearish price predictions on social media.

The chart indicates roughly 35,000 Bitcoin worth more than $1.4 billion has been deposited on Binance in the past 48 hours. “Feels like capitulation,” said Kraken’s growth lead, Dan Held. Clemente replied: “Let’s see one final nasty liquidation wick.”

Reasons to be cheerful

Despite Bitcoin’s price grinding down to post local lows below $40,000, some analysts are finding reasons to be bullish. 

Popular analyst, Lark Davis, noted the recent downturn has pushed Bitcoin’s 14-day relative-strength indicator into oversold territory for the first time since March 2020, suggesting the crash may be nearing its plateau.

Others are welcoming capitulation as a likely catalyst for a bullish recovery, predicting a swift return to upward momentum once selling has become exhausted.

Twitter user “YHRW80” noted surging flows into Bitcoin’s spot and derivatives markets during 2021, concluding that the dominant emotion gripping the markets is “greed” rather than fear. However, Bitcoin’s Fear and Greed Index disagrees with YHRW80’s analysis, describing current Bitcoin market sentiment as “extreme fear.” 

There was some welcome news today, with Indian media reporting the country's government is set to rethink its planned crypto ban and form a new panel of experts to explore regulating crypto assets in India. Some analysts suggest the catalyst for the surging inflows is tomorrow’s looming deadline for controversial stablecoin issuer Tether to disclose its quarterly financial records as part of its settlement with the New York Attorney General’s office.

Last week, Tether posted a breakdown of its reserves for the first time, asserting three-quarters of the assets backing its stablecoin are cash, cash equivalents, and other short-term deposits and commercial paper.


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Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap 7d price change
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 62.4% 76 $23 195.66 -1.29% -1.50% $447 262 989 624 BTC 7 days price change
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 69.2% 57 $1 649.37 -2.09% 2.18% $201 839 732 133 ETH 7 days price change
3 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 91.2% 1 $1.000217 0.01% 0% $68 079 422 781 USDT 7 days price change
4 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 79.6% 38 $328.36 -0.90% 4.32% $51 848 565 385 BNB 7 days price change
5 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 93.2% 1 $0.999942 -0.01% -0.03% $41 988 565 849 USDC 7 days price change
6 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 74.8% 42 $0.404201 -2.02% -1.97% $20 533 036 252 XRP 7 days price change
7 Binance USD (BUSD) BUSD Binance USD predictions 91.6% 1 $0.999723 -0.07% -0.02% $16 253 765 776 BUSD 7 days price change
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11 Lido stETH (STETH) STETH Lido stETH predictions 92.4% 1 $2 941.39 -0.40% -3.32% $10 258 752 564 STETH 7 days price change
12 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 56.8% 86 $23.67 -4.58% -3.57% $8 819 921 992 SOL 7 days price change
13 SHIBA INU (SHIB) SHIB SHIBA INU predictions 67.6% 73 $0.000014 1.35% 19.81% $7 914 712 336 SHIB 7 days price change
14 Polkadot (DOT) DOT Polkadot predictions 67.2% 66 $6.70 -4.41% 1.44% $7 726 491 964 DOT 7 days price change
15 HEX (HEX) HEX HEX predictions 70% 60 $0.041030 -11.76% 52.80% $7 114 999 412 HEX 7 days price change

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