Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is increasingly showing a tendency to move in the same direction with some of the world’s biggest tech stocks, a recent report by Bloomberg has revealed. Per the data reported by Bloomberg, the currency saw its highest 40-day correlation with Nasdaq 100 at 0.6945 on Friday. The higher correlation may forecast a downward trend for Bitcoin, which has already reached below $41,000 levels at the time of writing. The king crypto was trading at $40,616.26 with a 24-hour price change of 5%.
Citing similar data, founder of the cryptocurrency exchange BitMEX, Arthur Hayes, has predicted the coin to hit around $30,000 by June. Hayes has suggested that the higher correlation may make Bitcoin exposed to the effects of rising interest rates and falling economic growth. The co-founder wrote:
“The short-term (10-day) correlation is high, and the medium term (30-day and 90-day) correlations are moving up and to the right. This is not what we want. For me to hoist the flag in support of selling fiat and buying crypto in advance of an NDX meltdown (30% to 50% drawdown), correlations across all time frames need to trend demonstratively lower.”
In addition to Bitcoin, Hayes has also predicted Ethereum to hit below $2,500 even before the Fed takes any action. Nasdaq 100 is a large-cap growth index that tracks 100 of the largest domestic and international non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market. The companies listed are determined on the basis of their market capitalization. Some of them include Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Tesla, Nvidia, Meta, Alphabet, and Intel.
# | Crypto | Prediction | Accuracy | CVIX | Price | 24h | 7d | Market Cap | 7d price change | |
1 | BTC | Bitcoin predictions | 86% | 25 | $57 636.62 | 0.88% | -0.47% | $1 138 485 506 082 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | ETH | Ethereum predictions | 75.6% | 41 | $2 357.51 | 0.29% | -3.88% | $283 675 264 522 | ||
3 | USDT | Tether predictions | 96% | 1 | $1.000108 | -0.01% | 0% | $118 389 157 007 | ||
4 | BNB | Binance Coin predictions | 79.2% | 30 | $533.86 | 2.95% | 5.12% | $77 907 993 087 | ||
5 | SOL | Solana predictions | 80.8% | 37 | $133.16 | -1.96% | 0.29% | $62 309 186 743 | ||
6 | USDC | USD Coin predictions | 94.8% | 1 | $1.000006 | -0.02% | 0% | $35 381 178 218 | ||
7 | XRP | XRP predictions | 83.6% | 33 | $0.535828 | -0.34% | -4.23% | $30 182 842 588 | ||
8 | DOGE | Dogecoin predictions | 84% | 29 | $0.101570 | -0.92% | 3.14% | $14 820 512 972 | ||
9 | TON | Toncoin predictions | 62% | 77 | $5.32 | -1.69% | 14.64% | $13 476 436 072 | ||
10 | TRX | TRON predictions | 69.2% | 55 | $0.153070 | 0.55% | 2.50% | $13 272 812 102 | ||
11 | ADA | Cardano predictions | 80.4% | 37 | $0.345349 | 0.59% | 7.00% | $12 418 957 229 | ||
12 | STETH | Lido stETH predictions | 93.2% | 1 | $2 941.39 | -0.40% | -3.32% | $10 258 752 564 | ||
13 | WTRX | Wrapped TRON predictions | 93.2% | 1 | $0.116354 | -0.46% | 0.23% | $10 171 995 609 | ||
14 | WBTC | Wrapped Bitcoin predictions | 94.4% | 1 | $65 806.83 | 0.78% | -2.68% | $10 083 957 608 | ||
15 | AVAX | Avalanche predictions | 69.2% | 61 | $23.62 | -1.46% | 7.54% | $9 572 047 940 |
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