Bitcoin
BTC$60 506.94

6.81%

Ethereum
ETH$3 323.07

2.33%

Tether
USDT$1.000437

0.01%

Binance Coin
BNB$409.88

3.60%

Solana
SOL$116.31

6.82%

XRP
XRP$0.572365

-1.88%

Bitcoin on-chain data suggests no bull market top at $60K


12 Apr 2021

#Bitcoin

For the very first time in a Bitcoin (BTC) bull market, not only long-term investors but also short-term speculators who usually add to the daily sell pressure toward the end of a market cycle have become increasingly confident of higher prices as they hold on to their Bitcoin. This only adds to the already existing supply shock. If demand remains strong, this is a recipe for another leg up for the BTC price.

Every Bitcoin bull market usually coincided with an increasing number of short-term speculators coming into the market hoping to turn a quick profit, while long-term speculators start to add sell pressure toward the second half of the market cycle to realize their profits. One of the best on-chain indicators to see this trend unfold in each cycle is called HODL waves. Hereby, the length at which each BTC address holds Bitcoin before they are sold into the market is clustered into term buckets that are then visualized in different color bands.

For example, someone who held on to their Bitcoin for five months would fall into the 3m-6m bucket, the light orange color band. If that person decides to sell, it falls out of that bucket and would show up in the 24h-term bucket, the dark red color band. This means, the redder the colors are in the HODL waves chart on a respective date, the more short-term turnover of Bitcoins happens. This activity is almost at its lowest during a bear market, and at its highest during a bull market, while the short-term activity tends to peak around a bull market top.

Bitcoin selling activity whether it is from speculators or long-term holders is declining while also the annual spending behavior relative to the market capitalization is surprisingly low. All these on-chain data points suggest that the market is inching to an even deeper supply squeeze. This is one of the best rocket fuels to send the Bitcoin price higher. However, this is not a guarantee as it requires continuous demand for the price to appreciate in this environment. Therefore, a close eye on high-net-worth individuals and institutions’ demand should be kept, as they have recently been the main driver on the buyer side.


Related

NordFX Copy Trading: A Comprehensive Guide to Maximizing Profits
NordFX Copy Trading: A Comprehensive Guide to Maximizing Profits
Tips to Choose the Right Second Citizenship Program
Tips to Choose the Right Second Citizenship Program
Bitcoin’s continued slide down
Bitcoin’s continued slide down
A new round of crypto market mistrust
A new round of crypto market mistrust
Bitcoin holds its range, but pressure mounts
Bitcoin holds its range, but pressure mounts
Bitcoin unlikely to end correction
Bitcoin unlikely to end correction
Bitcoin looks set to take a severe dive
Bitcoin looks set to take a severe dive
Bitcoin set for a deeper correction
Bitcoin set for a deeper correction
Bitcoin falls under pressure
Bitcoin falls under pressure

Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap 7d price change
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 62.4% 76 $60 506.94 6.81% 17.78% $1 188 373 024 325 BTC 7 days price change
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 60% 80 $3 323.07 2.33% 13.59% $399 270 630 707 ETH 7 days price change
3 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 92% 1 $1.000437 0.01% 0.05% $98 433 906 633 USDT 7 days price change
4 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 68.8% 69 $409.88 3.60% 9.61% $61 293 901 306 BNB 7 days price change
5 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 78.4% 41 $116.31 6.82% 11.46% $51 478 731 317 SOL 7 days price change
6 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 81.6% 29 $0.572365 -1.88% 4.85% $31 247 828 742 XRP 7 days price change
7 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 93.2% 1 $0.999818 0% -0.02% $28 723 757 433 USDC 7 days price change
8 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 66% 66 $0.626473 0.27% 5.94% $22 225 630 080 ADA 7 days price change
9 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 82% 27 $0.114147 16.76% 35.93% $16 353 064 712 DOGE 7 days price change
10 Avalanche (AVAX) AVAX Avalanche predictions 74% 50 $40.12 2.28% 7.90% $15 132 487 988 AVAX 7 days price change
11 TRON (TRX) TRX TRON predictions 71.2% 63 $0.141938 -0.62% 1.77% $12 488 460 496 TRX 7 days price change
12 Wrapped TRON (WTRX) WTRX Wrapped TRON predictions 72% 61 $0.141829 -0.60% 2.04% $12 478 895 075 WTRX 7 days price change
13 Chainlink (LINK) LINK Chainlink predictions 76% 44 $19.16 0.36% 4.34% $11 251 240 626 LINK 7 days price change
14 Polkadot (DOT) DOT Polkadot predictions 74% 48 $8.23 -1.13% 10.85% $10 565 653 529 DOT 7 days price change
15 Lido stETH (STETH) STETH Lido stETH predictions 93.2% 1 $2 941.39 -0.40% -3.32% $10 258 752 564 STETH 7 days price change

Be the first to receive Cryptocurrency Price Predictions and Forecasts daily

Get cryptocurrency price predictions, forecasts with analysis and news right to your inbox.

© 2015-2024 Crypto-Rating.com

The usage of this website constitutes acceptance of the following legal information. Any contracts of financial instruments offered to conclude bear high risks and may result in the full loss of the deposited funds. Prior to making transactions one should get acquainted with the risks to which they relate. All the information featured on the website, including information about the cryptocurrencies and bitcoin is intended solely for informational purposes, is not a means of advertising them, and doesn't imply direct instructions for investing. Crypto Rating shall not be liable for any loss, including unlimited loss of funds, which may arise directly or indirectly from the usage of this information. The editorial staff of the website does not bear any responsibility whatsoever for the content of the comments or reviews made by the site users about cryptocurrencies. The entire responsibility for the contents rests with the authors. Reprint of the materials is available only with the permission of the editorial staff.