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Bitcoin mining difficulty just fell by a record 28%


07 Jul 2021

#Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC) has recorded its biggest mining difficulty drop of nearly 28% on July 3, but one model suggests that the BTC price will not bottom until October. In a series of tweets on July 2, investment manager Timothy Peterson flagged the relationship between Bitcoin price and hash rate as arguable evidence that the dip is not over.

Bitcoin mining difficulty dropped by an estimated 27.94% on Saturday at block height 689,472, the biggest in its history. As Cointelegraph previously explained, the drop is in response to the ongoing miner migration out of China and the subsequent loss of hash rate. For miners still at work, the decrease will be something of a profit boost — difficulty automatically accounts for changes in hash rate, making it more attractive to mine when it drops.

Miners in flux are not expected to return to their craft completely for several months. In that time, difficulty will likely increase again as hash rate goes up — more competition and more power competing for the same set reward. It is a classic mantra among Bitcoiners that “price follows hash rate” — but if that is true, one model charting the phenomenon is painting a sobering picture of future price behavior. Peterson noted that the relationship between price and hash rate is “useful” when it comes to marking macro price tops.


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Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap 7d price change
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 90.4% 2 $26 918.25 -0.14% 1.23% $524 890 483 866 BTC 7 days price change
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 91.2% 3 $1 666.38 0.93% 4.52% $200 359 438 928 ETH 7 days price change
3 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 92.4% 1 $1.000008 -0.01% 0% $83 277 212 554 USDT 7 days price change
4 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 90.4% 2 $215.61 0.44% 2.23% $33 170 344 252 BNB 7 days price change
5 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 87.6% 9 $0.533831 5.55% 3.71% $28 459 775 133 XRP 7 days price change
6 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 96% 1 $1.000138 -0.02% 0.01% $25 226 935 074 USDC 7 days price change
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12 TRON (TRX) TRX TRON predictions 83.6% 22 $0.089647 4.02% 7.25% $7 985 329 361 TRX 7 days price change
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14 Dai (DAI) DAI Dai predictions 93.2% 1 $1.000352 0.03% 0.05% $5 349 770 840 DAI 7 days price change
15 Polkadot (DOT) DOT Polkadot predictions 90.8% 7 $4.08 0.34% 1.57% $5 011 854 851 DOT 7 days price change

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