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Bitcoin may have played a role in Tesla’s decorrelation from Big Tech


15 Jul 2021

#Bitcoin

The 20-day correlation between Tesla stocks and the Nasdaq 100 index has sharply dropped from 0.83 in mid-June to 0.14 as of this week. Market analysts are arguing that Tesla’s exposure to Bitcoin (BTC) may be the reason for its sharp decorrelation from Big Tech in recent weeks. As of Wednesday, July 14, the 20-day correlation between the company’s price and the Nasdaq 100 index has dropped from 0.83 on June 17 down to 0.14. Whereas Tesla has shed almost 4% this month, the Nasdaq 100 is up by over 2%. A weakened correlation between Tesla shares and the NYSE FANG+ index is also observable, as BNN Bloomberg reported. 

Amy Wu Silverman, a derivatives strategist at RBC Capital Markets, told reporters: “Tesla is highly correlated to megacap tech [...] this relationship has really decoupled in the near term. When I ask around, the feedback I get is that this is related to their Bitcoin exposure and how it will have to be accounted for when they report earnings.”

The EV maker’s earnings report is due on July 26. Tesla’s eventful and controversial relationship with Bitcoin dominated headlines — and arguably catalyzed a crypto market bull run — in February of this year, when the company disclosed a strategic acquisition of $1.5 billion worth of Bitcoin, worth 7.7% of its gross cash position at the time. It soon announced it would begin accepting BTC payments for its vehicles, indicating plans to hold, rather than convert, the Bitcoin. 

The company sold a portion of its Bitcoin in Q1 2021, generating net proceeds of $272 million, although Musk was keen to stress he had not himself sold any of his own BTC holdings. By May, the close link between Tesla and the veteran cryptocurrency had begun to unravel, with Musk announcing Tesla would be pulling back from BTC payments acceptance due to environmental concerns about energy-intensive Bitcoin mining. 

Time will tell whether Tesla’s near-term weakened correlation with Big Tech stocks will become an established dynamic. In the crypto space, many have been more focused on the oversized impact Musk himself has had on the crypto market as a whole, most strikingly when it comes to Bitcoin and meme cryptocurrency Dogecoin (DOGE).


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Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap 7d price change
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 78.4% 35 $22 994.25 -3.54% 0.01% $439 591 538 662 BTC 7 days price change
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 68.8% 68 $1 687.91 -5.10% 3.56% $205 761 571 724 ETH 7 days price change
3 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 95.6% 1 $1.000205 0% 0% $66 531 586 544 USDT 7 days price change
4 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 93.2% 1 $1.000033 0.02% -0.01% $54 021 851 086 USDC 7 days price change
5 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 71.2% 62 $322.84 -0.68% 11.75% $52 086 335 344 BNB 7 days price change
6 Binance USD (BUSD) BUSD Binance USD predictions 95.2% 1 $1.000068 0% 0.01% $17 752 502 175 BUSD 7 days price change
7 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 80.4% 36 $0.363424 -3.65% -1.50% $17 569 045 535 XRP 7 days price change
8 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 72% 50 $0.511389 -4.25% 1.61% $17 253 774 183 ADA 7 days price change
9 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 78% 44 $39.74 -6.33% 3.54% $13 844 600 613 SOL 7 days price change
10 Lido stETH (STETH) STETH Lido stETH predictions 94.8% 1 $2 941.39 -0.40% -3.32% $10 258 752 564 STETH 7 days price change
11 Polkadot (DOT) DOT Polkadot predictions 68.8% 62 $8.71 -4.69% 9.10% $9 626 327 113 DOT 7 days price change
12 HEX (HEX) HEX HEX predictions 64% 70 $0.054592 -1.19% 18.95% $9 466 937 752 HEX 7 days price change
13 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 81.6% 28 $0.068228 -6.49% 1.79% $9 051 914 563 DOGE 7 days price change
14 Avalanche (AVAX) AVAX Avalanche predictions 70.4% 55 $27.42 -3.30% 17.24% $7 814 089 843 AVAX 7 days price change
15 Dai (DAI) DAI Dai predictions 93.6% 1 $0.999863 0.05% 0.03% $7 525 054 582 DAI 7 days price change

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