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Bitcoin may have played a role in Tesla’s decorrelation from Big Tech


15 Jul 2021

#Bitcoin

The 20-day correlation between Tesla stocks and the Nasdaq 100 index has sharply dropped from 0.83 in mid-June to 0.14 as of this week. Market analysts are arguing that Tesla’s exposure to Bitcoin (BTC) may be the reason for its sharp decorrelation from Big Tech in recent weeks. As of Wednesday, July 14, the 20-day correlation between the company’s price and the Nasdaq 100 index has dropped from 0.83 on June 17 down to 0.14. Whereas Tesla has shed almost 4% this month, the Nasdaq 100 is up by over 2%. A weakened correlation between Tesla shares and the NYSE FANG+ index is also observable, as BNN Bloomberg reported. 

Amy Wu Silverman, a derivatives strategist at RBC Capital Markets, told reporters: “Tesla is highly correlated to megacap tech [...] this relationship has really decoupled in the near term. When I ask around, the feedback I get is that this is related to their Bitcoin exposure and how it will have to be accounted for when they report earnings.”

The EV maker’s earnings report is due on July 26. Tesla’s eventful and controversial relationship with Bitcoin dominated headlines — and arguably catalyzed a crypto market bull run — in February of this year, when the company disclosed a strategic acquisition of $1.5 billion worth of Bitcoin, worth 7.7% of its gross cash position at the time. It soon announced it would begin accepting BTC payments for its vehicles, indicating plans to hold, rather than convert, the Bitcoin. 

The company sold a portion of its Bitcoin in Q1 2021, generating net proceeds of $272 million, although Musk was keen to stress he had not himself sold any of his own BTC holdings. By May, the close link between Tesla and the veteran cryptocurrency had begun to unravel, with Musk announcing Tesla would be pulling back from BTC payments acceptance due to environmental concerns about energy-intensive Bitcoin mining. 

Time will tell whether Tesla’s near-term weakened correlation with Big Tech stocks will become an established dynamic. In the crypto space, many have been more focused on the oversized impact Musk himself has had on the crypto market as a whole, most strikingly when it comes to Bitcoin and meme cryptocurrency Dogecoin (DOGE).


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Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap 7d price change
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 78.8% 42 $57 397.14 5.51% -0.13% $1 084 001 374 692 BTC 7 days price change
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 82.4% 32 $4 325.04 6.69% 3.38% $512 656 495 446 ETH 7 days price change
3 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 74.4% 53 $609.29 4.33% 7.07% $101 630 227 689 BNB 7 days price change
4 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 94.8% 1 $1.000997 0.02% -0.01% $73 194 134 956 USDT 7 days price change
5 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 69.2% 65 $203.84 7.44% -8.23% $61 976 513 439 SOL 7 days price change
6 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 67.2% 60 $1.59 5.99% -11.72% $52 852 892 795 ADA 7 days price change
7 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 74.4% 51 $0.987767 7.45% -5.41% $46 582 102 093 XRP 7 days price change
8 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 91.2% 2 $0.998878 -0.13% -0.10% $38 347 542 030 USDC 7 days price change
9 Polkadot (DOT) DOT Polkadot predictions 66% 75 $36.25 8.95% -9.51% $35 798 276 399 DOT 7 days price change
10 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 62.4% 74 $0.205694 2.60% -7.52% $27 214 125 290 DOGE 7 days price change
11 Avalanche (AVAX) AVAX Avalanche predictions 66.8% 75 $112.35 3.84% -16.51% $25 147 340 195 AVAX 7 days price change
12 SHIBA INU (SHIB) SHIB SHIBA INU predictions 62% 77 $0.000039 3.61% -9.86% $21 537 353 661 SHIB 7 days price change
13 Crypto.com Chain (CRO) CRO Crypto.com Chain predictions 56% 90 $0.766272 1.87% 10.94% $19 358 331 922 CRO 7 days price change
14 Terra (LUNA) LUNA Terra predictions 64.8% 72 $49.02 8.15% 18.38% $19 258 363 664 LUNA 7 days price change
15 Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) WBTC Wrapped Bitcoin predictions 74.4% 46 $56 525.74 5.34% -1.06% $14 327 926 572 WBTC 7 days price change

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