Bitcoin
BTC$26 897.71

-0.57%

Ethereum
ETH$1 860.48

-0.05%

Tether
USDT$1.000026

-0.01%

Binance Coin
BNB$304.67

-0.61%

USD Coin
USDC$0.999756

-0.01%

XRP
XRP$0.504250

-1.53%

Bitcoin loses interest from speculators, heading toward $10k in a year


16 Jul 2021

#Bitcoin

Bitcoin has once again walked through a minor crisis on the price approaching $30k. That level has the potential to trigger an even broader sell-off in the cryptocurrency market. The quick rebound suggests that the bulls are willing and able to defend the critical round level. 

However, everything is not so simple, and one of the leading indicators is trading volume. This is exactly where the situation is alarming, as the trading volume has decreased significantly in recent months.  The average daily trading volume is 76% lower than the levels when the price peaked above $60K. How negative is this for the crypto market? Investors and traders choose to stay out of the market, and attempts to buy back the decline are incredibly cautious.

A triangle with downside resistance and horizontal support at $31.5K continues to form on the chart. Though the bulls manage to push the price away from the bottom of this figure time after time, the sell-off episodes start from lower and lower levels. And this has fatal consequences for the bitcoin price.

With their massive share of speculative capital, cryptocurrencies are not characterised by periods of calm at high prices: rapid growth or a deafening collapse followed by a consolidation. This dramatically increases the odds that the exit from the consolidation phase will be down with a potential $10k target at some point next year.

Yesterday, we saw that both when the price of the benchmark cryptocurrency fell and when it rebounded, trading volume showed little to no change. This means that the market was driven by small open investor positions, indicating a deep vulnerability to the sentiment of a small group. It is hard to see bullish forces accumulating in such a situation to break through critical levels.

Elsewhere, despite local attacks against cryptocurrencies and exchanges by authorities in developed economies, senior banking officials still confirm that cryptocurrencies are not a system threat. Probably, that is why we are not seeing a harsh reaction from regulators around the world. For example, the Bank of England deputy governor said that cryptocurrencies “have not yet crossed the financial stability risk line”. It is widely recognised that cryptocurrencies are volatile.

Still, as long as monetary authorities in developed economies look at digital currencies through the lens of a “technology casino,” crypto market participants have time to make a profit before the size of the market forces regulators to stop the free development of digital currencies. That moment will probably coincide with the launch of national digital currencies. For now, the “casino” works and consistently win.


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Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap 7d price change
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 88% 10 $26 897.71 -0.57% 2.07% $521 544 143 377 BTC 7 days price change
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 94.4% 5 $1 860.48 -0.05% 3.44% $223 714 819 656 ETH 7 days price change
3 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 92% 1 $1.000026 -0.01% 0.03% $83 224 498 225 USDT 7 days price change
4 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 94.8% 1 $304.67 -0.61% -0.08% $47 485 262 045 BNB 7 days price change
5 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 92% 1 $0.999756 -0.01% -0.01% $28 847 127 885 USDC 7 days price change
6 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 77.2% 37 $0.504250 -1.53% 11.90% $26 212 632 900 XRP 7 days price change
7 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 92% 10 $0.364572 -2.55% 1.76% $12 717 605 112 ADA 7 days price change
8 Lido stETH (STETH) STETH Lido stETH predictions 94% 1 $2 941.39 -0.40% -3.32% $10 258 752 564 STETH 7 days price change
9 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 89.2% 17 $0.071692 0.74% 1.81% $10 007 347 652 DOGE 7 days price change
10 Polygon (MATIC) MATIC Polygon predictions 80% 35 $0.893847 0.39% 0.86% $8 294 424 384 MATIC 7 days price change
11 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 80% 29 $20.71 0.55% 7.01% $8 214 229 812 SOL 7 days price change
12 Wrapped TRON (WTRX) WTRX Wrapped TRON predictions 80.8% 37 $0.074826 -0.77% -3.49% $7 608 018 393 WTRX 7 days price change
13 Litecoin (LTC) LTC Litecoin predictions 77.6% 37 $94.21 5.89% 10.62% $6 881 721 612 LTC 7 days price change
14 TRON (TRX) TRX TRON predictions 78.4% 33 $0.074853 -0.76% -3.71% $6 753 192 726 TRX 7 days price change
15 Polkadot (DOT) DOT Polkadot predictions 87.2% 11 $5.23 -1.35% -0.75% $6 224 984 176 DOT 7 days price change

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