Bitcoin
BTC$41 781.93

-1.20%

Ethereum
ETH$3 104.92

-3.07%

Tether
USDT$1.000442

0%

Binance Coin
BNB$462.66

-2.57%

Cardano
ADA$1.41

-10.09%

USD Coin
USDC$0.999818

-0.07%

Bitcoin has risen 7%–36% in the first week of January each year since 2018


31 Dec 2021

#Bitcoin

Some analysts are expecting big things for Bitcoin shortly once institutional selling has subsided and capital gets deployed to the market. Some crypto market analysts are highlighting the potential for a green first week on the crypto markets in January as part of what economist and trader Alex Krüger calls the “first week of the year effect.” Krüger pointed out in a Wednesday tweet that for the past four years straight, Bitcoin (BTC) has enjoyed positive returns in the first week of January ranging from 7% to 36% between 2018 and 2021. In 2021, BTC grew from $28,653 to $41,441 in the first week of January.

When asked what had happened in previous years, Krüger replied, “Tbf only 2020 and 2021 matter, different markets, so do with those two data points as you will.”

His optimistic outlook for early January comes from his expectation of strong “fund inflows,” which appears to be in line with the sentiments of Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal. Pal said in a YouTube interview on Monday that he believed the sell-offs on Bitcoin were finished and that January would have a strong start as institutional capital gets reinvested in the market.

ExoAlpha chief investment officer David Lifchitz believes institutions are still selling even with less than 24 hours remaining in 2021 in order to lock in tax losses. It’s possible that a January first week rebound could be correlated with the phenomenon.

Fintech and wealth management firm deVere Group CEO Nigel Green believes that December has shaped up as Bitcoin’s worst monthly showing since May of 2021 due to what he calls “panic sellers practically giving away their cryptocurrencies to wealthy buyers.” He is bullish on the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization for the long term, however. Green feels that Bitcoin can protect investors from global inflation and that “borderless, global, decentralized currencies are the future.”

Not everyone is bullish on crypto in 2022, however. Carol Alexander, professor of finance at Sussex University, told CNBC that BTC could tank as far down as $10,000 in 2022. She is a skeptic, however, who believes that BTC has no fundamental value and that it has already reached its peak this cycle.

Related: MicroStrategy purchases 1,914 Bitcoin, now holds almost $6B in crypto

A more informed take comes from Todd Lowenstein, chief equity strategist of Union Bank. His view is that “Goldilocks conditions,” such as the COVID financial stimulus packages and low-interest rates that benefited high asset prices, are coming to an end, which will have a significant negative impact on BTC and traditional markets in 2022.

“Goldilocks conditions are ending and the liquidity tide is receding which will disproportionately harm overvalued asset classes and speculative areas of the market including cryptocurrencies.”


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Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap 7d price change
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 71.2% 61 $41 781.93 -1.20% -2.04% $791 088 078 889 BTC 7 days price change
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 64.4% 76 $3 104.92 -3.07% -4.08% $370 163 071 496 ETH 7 days price change
3 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 96% 1 $1.000442 0% 0.02% $78 349 190 476 USDT 7 days price change
4 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 70% 60 $462.66 -2.57% 0.34% $76 392 115 063 BNB 7 days price change
5 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 76% 52 $1.41 -10.09% 16.06% $47 131 349 412 ADA 7 days price change
6 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 96% 1 $0.999818 -0.07% 0.01% $45 754 530 091 USDC 7 days price change
7 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 62.8% 81 $138.01 -1.88% -1.19% $43 357 154 185 SOL 7 days price change
8 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 69.2% 65 $0.743566 -2.42% -2.66% $35 440 659 267 XRP 7 days price change
9 Terra (LUNA) LUNA Terra predictions 74% 57 $77.07 -0.63% 2.61% $27 568 221 274 LUNA 7 days price change
10 Polkadot (DOT) DOT Polkadot predictions 73.2% 51 $24.34 -4.48% -6.31% $24 040 494 775 DOT 7 days price change
11 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 75.2% 45 $0.166796 -2.47% 8.84% $22 128 901 943 DOGE 7 days price change
12 Avalanche (AVAX) AVAX Avalanche predictions 61.2% 79 $84.45 -2.78% -7.81% $20 636 453 390 AVAX 7 days price change
13 SHIBA INU (SHIB) SHIB SHIBA INU predictions 70% 63 $0.000028 -3.69% -2.92% $15 307 020 912 SHIB 7 days price change
14 Polygon (MATIC) MATIC Polygon predictions 68.4% 59 $2.08 -6.22% -11.45% $15 177 353 942 MATIC 7 days price change
15 Binance USD (BUSD) BUSD Binance USD predictions 90.8% 1 $0.998835 -0.12% -0.19% $14 198 835 768 BUSD 7 days price change

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