Bitcoin
BTC$19 601.45

1.08%

Ethereum
ETH$1 069.36

1.22%

Tether
USDT$0.998838

-0.01%

USD Coin
USDC$1.000222

0.01%

Binance Coin
BNB$222.98

5.98%

Binance USD
BUSD$1.001650

0.21%

Bitcoin gains strength as Friday’s $600M BTC options expiry approaches


20 Aug 2021

#Bitcoin

The Fed’s plan to taper a massive monthly economic stimulus pulled stocks down, but BTC ignored critical comments and looks strong heading into Friday’s options expiry. Over the past seven days, Bitcoin (BTC) has failed to break through the $48,000 resistance, but its price has remained flat even as Minneapolis Federal Reserve Chairman Neel Kashkari bashed the industry.

During an appearance at the Pacific NorthWest Economic Region Annual Summit on Aug. 17, Kashkari said: "So far, what I've seen is […] 95% fraud, hype, noise and confusion."

Moreover, Kashkari specifically targeted Bitcoin when hementioned that its only use case has been funding illicit activities. Even with the current pullback, Bitcoin investors should be glad that the $44,000 support held because the Federal Reserve also signaled its intent to unwind its $120-billion monthly purchases of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities.

With less stimulus to support the markets, investors naturally become more risk-averse, which could have caused a retracement in Bitcoin’s price. With that in mind, traders should be less worried about Friday's $600 million Bitcoin options expiry because when the markets hold during potentially negative news, it can be interpreted as bullish. The call-to-put ratio currently stands at 1.43 and favors the neutral-to-bullish call options. This data reflects the 7,838 Bitcoin call options stacked against the 5,465 put options.

Bulls seem confident in the $44,000 support

Currently, there are less than 17 hours until Friday's expiry, and there is a slim chance that a $50,000 call option could be of any use. This means that even if Bitcoin trades at $49,900 at 8:00 am UTC on Aug. 20, these options become worthless. Therefore, after excluding the 3,700 ultra-bullish call options contracts above $50,000, the adjusted open interest for the neutral-to-bullish instruments stands at $190 million.

An expiry price below $48,000 reduces this figure to $138 million. If bears manage to keep Bitcoin trading below $46,000, only $67 million of these call option contracts will take part in Friday's expiry. Lastly, the bull's worst-case scenario happens below $44,000 because it wipes out 83% of the neutral-to-bullish call options to leave a meager $24 million open interest in their favor.

Bears need BTC price below $45,000 to balance the situation

Bears seem to have been taken by surprise because 73% of the protective put options have been placed below $44,000. Consequently, the instrument's open interest would be reduced to $65 million if the Bitcoin expiry takes place above that threshold, and this would give bears a $41 million advantage.

By keeping Bitcoin price below $45,000, bears might keep the open interest virtually balanced between call options and protective puts.

Ultimately, an expiry price above $46,000 increases the bull's advantage to $105 million, which seems like a good enough reason to justify increased buying pressure ahead of Friday's expiry.


Related

Bears prepare for a new attack on Bitcoin
Bears prepare for a new attack on Bitcoin
BTC Forecast from the President of El Salvador
BTC Forecast from the President of El Salvador
Bitcoin’s decline is oversold, but it’s too early to talk about a new rally
Bitcoin’s decline is oversold, but it’s too early to talk about a new rally
Bitcoin's continued collapse and furnace of fire for the crypto periphery
Bitcoin's continued collapse and furnace of fire for the crypto periphery
Loss of correlation with stocks will pave the way for crypto to portfolios
Loss of correlation with stocks will pave the way for crypto to portfolios
Bitcoin swings in a tight cage
Bitcoin swings in a tight cage
Bitcoin is unlikely to bottom so early and high
Bitcoin is unlikely to bottom so early and high
Bitcoin's pump or the start of a rise? America's opening will show us
Bitcoin's pump or the start of a rise? America's opening will show us
May Results: Bitcoin and Gold Fall, NordFX Traders Earn
May Results: Bitcoin and Gold Fall, NordFX Traders Earn

Top Cryptocurrencies with Price Predictions

# Crypto Prediction Accuracy CVIX Price 24h 7d Market Cap 7d price change
1 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC Bitcoin predictions 53.6% 94 $19 601.45 1.08% -6.16% $374 035 671 245 BTC 7 days price change
2 Ethereum (ETH) ETH Ethereum predictions 58.8% 91 $1 069.36 1.22% -6.90% $129 781 761 094 ETH 7 days price change
3 Tether (USDT) USDT Tether predictions 92.8% 1 $0.998838 -0.01% -0.05% $66 155 226 088 USDT 7 days price change
4 USD Coin (USDC) USDC USD Coin predictions 91.2% 1 $1.000222 0.01% 0.01% $55 814 989 943 USDC 7 days price change
5 Binance Coin (BNB) BNB Binance Coin predictions 59.6% 84 $222.98 5.98% -3.62% $36 406 780 076 BNB 7 days price change
6 Binance USD (BUSD) BUSD Binance USD predictions 90.8% 1 $1.001650 0.21% 0.09% $17 576 185 471 BUSD 7 days price change
7 Cardano (ADA) ADA Cardano predictions 62% 77 $0.456735 1.28% -7.20% $15 498 880 430 ADA 7 days price change
8 XRP (XRP) XRP XRP predictions 66.4% 72 $0.318666 0.10% -14.11% $15 405 296 738 XRP 7 days price change
9 Solana (SOL) SOL Solana predictions 62% 74 $33.22 4.79% -13.37% $11 402 674 515 SOL 7 days price change
10 Dogecoin (DOGE) DOGE Dogecoin predictions 63.6% 76 $0.066230 1.84% 1.89% $8 786 721 543 DOGE 7 days price change
11 Dai (DAI) DAI Dai predictions 96% 1 $1.000583 0.09% 0.06% $6 781 768 129 DAI 7 days price change
12 Polkadot (DOT) DOT Polkadot predictions 64.4% 72 $6.79 0.01% -14.24% $6 708 513 693 DOT 7 days price change
13 TRON (TRX) TRX TRON predictions 55.2% 91 $0.065271 2.22% 1.89% $6 037 017 196 TRX 7 days price change
14 UNUS SED LEO (LEO) LEO UNUS SED LEO predictions 74.8% 55 $6.05 2.00% 4.28% $5 770 009 473 LEO 7 days price change
15 SHIBA INU (SHIB) SHIB SHIBA INU predictions 64% 71 $0.000010 2.69% 0.29% $5 612 816 170 SHIB 7 days price change

Be the first to receive Cryptocurrency Price Predictions and Forecasts daily

Get cryptocurrency price predictions, forecasts with analysis and news right to your inbox.

© 2015-2022 Crypto-Rating.com

The usage of this website constitutes acceptance of the following legal information. Any contracts of financial instruments offered to conclude bear high risks and may result in the full loss of the deposited funds. Prior to making transactions one should get acquainted with the risks to which they relate. All the information featured on the website, including information about the cryptocurrencies and bitcoin is intended solely for informational purposes, is not a means of advertising them, and doesn't imply direct instructions for investing. Crypto Rating shall not be liable for any loss, including unlimited loss of funds, which may arise directly or indirectly from the usage of this information. The editorial staff of the website does not bear any responsibility whatsoever for the content of the comments or reviews made by the site users about cryptocurrencies. The entire responsibility for the contents rests with the authors. Reprint of the materials is available only with the permission of the editorial staff.