Litecoin (LTC): Has Digital Silver Got Itself Out of the Gutter?

August 18, 2020   Litecoin

It is sad to see one of the most popular altcoins completely losing the mojo and going down the ranks. Given the recent astounding success of Chainlink (LINK), Cardano (ADA), and a host of other altcoins, traders will soon see Litecoin (LTC) pushed out of the top 10 by Binance Coin (BNB) and possibly Tezos (XTZ). But the latest developments in the cryptocurrency market that saw Bitcoin (BTC) and many altcoins, most those that belong to the DeFi space, shoot to the upside, while Litecoin also caught some of the bullish drift.

Even though the LTC's yearly gains are still on the negative side: -34.31 against USD; -34.22% in the BTC market; -64.2% against ETH. As you can see, those that once were considered the main rivals of LTC are now leaving it biting the dust, so making a long-term investment in the coin that went from being ranked 4th down to the 9th position would be impractical, to say the least. Despite the 60% bull run during the past month, LTC still remains an inherently weak altcoin, suitable only for intraday trading, although we will also provide the LTC price analysis on the macro scale.

The bull run could be out already running out of steam


The weekly chart shows that Litecoin had reached the point of recovery from the hugely detrimental market crash only at the tail end of July, whereas most altcoins have done so weeks, if not months, ago.

1-week LTC/USDT chart

Some might say that it is a good sign because now LTC has a lot of upside potential that could translate to swift gains, but the reality is that Litecoin is severely lagging in terms of price action even in comparison to the inherently weaker coins. The chart above shows that even though LTC made it past the recovery point at $50.98, it is already being rejected aggressively upon testing the resistance levels at $57.46 and $65.33. Now we see how the trading volume is shrinking and turning bearish, a glaring sign that the bullish period of price action has run its course. The current weekly candle will most probably close below $57.46 and form a spinning top, which means that the bears are already trying to seize back the control over this market.    

  • Although MACD is the most bullish it has been since the rally at the beginning of the year, it is still below 0, hence in the bearish territory, which increases the chance of a deep pullback;
  • Stochastic looks quite bullish despite the rejection, but the close of the weekly candle below $57.46 might change its stance to more bearish;
  • RSI has flattened out below 60, which is a neutral zone, demonstrating that the market is still at the crossroads, and the next move on the part of the bears is going to be decisive with regard to the further direction of price action.

Our Litecoin price prediction is that next week is going to be colored red in this market as the sellers will try to restrain the price appreciation and bring it down to the pre-crash level. In general, the cryptocurrency market will also experience a minor decline due to being already overheated, which will add weight to the LTC pullback.

Author: Alex Paulson for Crypto-Rating.com
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